CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. Nemiga
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x983f93cb3c4821a5365912d7c1f73dd5cf6b9d9747b13a8495931c3ce6db2066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x178e…76f7backed paiN | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Nemiga | 43c | 3,751$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.58 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed paiN | 44c | 3,400$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.14 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Nemiga | 45c | 2,760$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.69 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Nemiga | 51c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.7 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked paiN | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Nemiga | 39c | 1,355$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.83 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed paiN | 60c | 1,156$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.06 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Nemiga | 43c | 1,019$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.22 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed paiN | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Nemiga | 76c | 707.91$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.13 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked paiN | 58c | 586.21$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.21 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked Nemiga | 46c | 550$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Nemiga | 25c | 520.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.01 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Nemiga | 43c | 510.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.69 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked paiN | 57c | 502.07$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…05a0backed Nemiga | 40c | 500$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Nemiga | 40c | 494$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Nemiga | 41c | 484.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Nemiga | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Nemiga | 67c | 456.87$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.84 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Nemiga | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Nemiga | 58c | 381.79$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Nemiga | 39c | 343.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed paiN | 59c | 310.33$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 55c | 298.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked paiN | 36c | 275$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Nemiga | 56c | 268.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked paiN | 54c | 224.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed paiN | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Nemiga | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Nemiga | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed paiN | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed paiN | 60c | 166.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Nemiga | 41c | 146.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b9…1f97backed Nemiga | 74c | 116.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nemiga | 18c | 106$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed paiN | 57c | 97.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…074cbacked paiN | 46c | 93.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…af29backed Nemiga | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked paiN | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed Nemiga | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed paiN | 28c | 86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Nemiga | 65c | 85.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d19…198fbacked paiN | 53c | 77.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed paiN | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked paiN | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed paiN | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…957dbacked paiN | 40c | 35.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked paiN | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…1a96backed Nemiga | 44c | 32.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Nemiga | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Nemiga | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…b3f0backed Nemiga | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed paiN | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…fdfcbacked Nemiga | 45c | 26.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed paiN | 59c | 23.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.