CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: G2 vs. 3DMAX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf20d763f7d0e38dfafecad4aa2da0fa2328d6c4ae2a2c187960f91311b3014d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof G2, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed G2 | 43c | 6,428$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.54 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 4,983$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.33 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked G2 | 49c | 3,001$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.66 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed 3DMAX | 57c | 2,744$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.94 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX | 51c | 2,311$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.78 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed G2 | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed G2 | 51c | 1,963$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed 3DMAX | 48c | 1,948$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.14 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked 3DMAX | 52c | 1,927$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.94 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed 3DMAX | 73c | 1,379$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked 3DMAX | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…445ebacked 3DMAX | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…ec85backed G2 | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0e…427abacked 3DMAX | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…485fbacked G2 | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked G2 | 47c | 969.99$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.9 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 756$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked G2 | 26c | 750.08$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…b385backed G2 | 41c | 737.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…21bebacked G2 | 48c | 550$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed G2 | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed G2 | 37c | 407.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed G2 | 21c | 317$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed 3DMAX | 65c | 305.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed G2 | 49c | 250$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed G2 | 43c | 230.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked 3DMAX | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed G2 | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked 3DMAX | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc3…04e5backed G2 | 48c | 185$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked G2 | 50c | 181.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…c8f8backed 3DMAX | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked 3DMAX | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed 3DMAX | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed 3DMAX | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked G2 | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed G2 | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…de52backed 3DMAX | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…bea8backed 3DMAX | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed 3DMAX | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf88…c6f6backed G2 | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…2035backed G2 | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 | 27c | 85.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…c66fbacked G2 | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…17a8backed G2 | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked 3DMAX | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed 3DMAX | 53c | 75.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed G2 | 43c | 74.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked G2 | 35c | 72.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 3DMAX | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…4743backed G2 | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed 3DMAX | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed G2 | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed G2 | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked 3DMAX | 76c | 45.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed 3DMAX | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…d0e4backed G2 | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed 3DMAX | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed 3DMAX | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…c566backed G2 | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed 3DMAX | 50c | 30.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…b3f0backed G2 | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed G2 | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed G2 | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed 3DMAX | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed 3DMAX | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.