NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe40bda6aabda6a73706160d946b315ae1a6613f11e3590c35af8f441012f6ec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Knicks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Knicks | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.99 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pacers | 53c | 5,587$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.49 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Knicks | 47c | 4,683$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.2 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Pacers | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Pacers | 52c | 2,891$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.78 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Knicks | 46c | 2,812$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.45 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Pacers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.8 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 47c | 1,726$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.17 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Pacers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Knicks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Pacers | 52c | 900$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Knicks | 48c | 801.28$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.61 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Pacers | 52c | 744.33$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.83 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Knicks | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Knicks | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Pacers | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Knicks | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Pacers | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Pacers | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Pacers | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Knicks | 45c | 371.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.93 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Knicks | 47c | 353$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…c765backed Knicks | 49c | 346.65$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Pacers | 52c | 341$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Knicks | 27c | 333$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pacers | 54c | 326$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Knicks | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Knicks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Knicks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Knicks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed Knicks | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Pacers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 52c | 180.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Knicks | 43c | 165.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Knicks | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…15b9backed Knicks | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Knicks | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…ae12backed Pacers | 51c | 107.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Knicks | 49c | 101.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Pacers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Pacers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pacers | 52c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Knicks | 47c | 96.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Knicks | 48c | 68.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Knicks | 37c | 67.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Knicks | 48c | 65.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Knicks | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Pacers | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdd…4fccbacked Knicks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pacers | 54c | 38.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…824ebacked Knicks | 48c | 38.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Pacers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Pacers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79b…0fe0backed Knicks | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…3373backed Pacers | 55c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Pacers | 56c | 21.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Pacers | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…55c9backed Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)this page
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pacers vs. KnicksPacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.