NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x316e49a971e3eabd0f8d7365c21d2d0080dcd58b1b97fc9602f81282aa89fefa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 2,077$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.08 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Over | 50c | 1,592$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Under | 30c | 1,228$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.38 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 41c | 1,075$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.78 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Under | 42c | 993$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.06 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 61c | 959.79$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.22 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Over | 64c | 603$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 7c | 486$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Over | 63c | 317.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Under | 45c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…013abacked Under | 62c | 71.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 37c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…2a2abacked Over | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Over | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 221.5this page
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pacers vs. KnicksPacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.