TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

French Open: Keys vs. Gauff

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gauffof Keys, Gauff
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e11…9bacbacked Gauff57c35,200$20,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,167.993050%15 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Keys44c22,922$10,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,166.631,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Keys35c14,805$5,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,210.991533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Keys34c12,213$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.7839144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Keys42c10,943$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,618.873458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Gauff65c10,865$7,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,825.069652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4403…c953backed Gauff67c9,145$6,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Keys34c9,138$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.9211230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Gauff67c6,760$4,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.664955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e4…38eabacked Gauff66c5,701$3,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.471266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Keys42c5,072$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.1518740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe190…a627backed Keys26c4,409$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.73955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Keys44c3,651$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.3228043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Gauff70c2,756$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.086376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbc40…4036backed Gauff69c2,702$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.551866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Keys34c2,480$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.1712231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fd5…d06bbacked Keys42c2,396$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.284723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c06…62e3backed Gauff64c2,082$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.274100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Gauff67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6608256.1%46 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Keys35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70026039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Keys21c1,700$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35422021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Keys34c1,688$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.929044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Gauff48c1,561$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.5329553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Keys34c1,469$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9728828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Gauff58c1,437$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.781,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Gauff62c1,437$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.683243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Gauff66c1,243$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.622479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Keys25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Keys21c945.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc48…6dcdbacked Gauff60c805.9$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.422653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked Gauff69c619.31$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.271668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a6…aac8backed Keys34c508.82$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1734233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Gauff47c506.31$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.533151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Keys31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15581938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Keys3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Gauff67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16514850%74 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Gauff65c409.98$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.491060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Gauff50c399.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.749642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Keys31c399.34$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0438147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Gauff66c386.36$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.362263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60d…57bfbacked Keys31c319.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.22516%4 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab3e…6939backed Keys6c313.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.265617.9%10 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Gauff43c312.4$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4631650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Gauff67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5148043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e7a…6f28backed Keys36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Gauff44c272.47$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.863171%22 W · 9 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+48.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Keys34c265.73$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.582138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82fc…67c7backed Gauff60c257.44$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x109a…a540backed Keys40c239.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Keys34c220$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.85438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Keys46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9262952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d6b…6509backed Keys54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+78.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69bb…0f5cbacked Gauff70c182.54$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.761241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Gauff55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Keys55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015439.6%61 W · 93 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a8e…c096backed Gauff73c176.55$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.111346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Gauff68c162.9$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7415961%97 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Keys34c153$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.023315.2%5 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb260…a44ebacked Gauff67c152.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.42875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Gauff67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2563942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Keys34c148$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.321040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed Keys28c144.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010839.8%43 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ab…790bbacked Keys35c136.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.771225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57bb…4a87backed Keys53c132$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Keys35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4512038.3%46 W · 74 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gauff66c118.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.351,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Gauff51c107.38$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5416445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Keys31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317238.9%28 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Keys52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5217349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb54c…61b0backed Gauff67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Keys33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Keys34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d98…2711backed Gauff60c86.45$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Keys32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Gauff67c74.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7317767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf11…3cfebacked Gauff69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f3…bf9dbacked Keys31c71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.721643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b2d…f0d4backed Gauff66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.613447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Gauff61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x516d…71bcbacked Keys42c54.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.152040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24cb…5921backed Gauff67c53.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.65580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Keys37c50.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6613245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Keys27c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.451,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Gauff67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.319359.1%55 W · 38 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf282…038bbacked Gauff67c37.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd101…fbf7backed Gauff60c33.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Gauff67c31.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.584042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba5…5158backed Keys57c31.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe07b…ec17backed Gauff66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Gauff66c23.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87761%47 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.