Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs. Casper Ruud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe15bd38639fd14f5da7317c66d8cf4978bf04530302c18e2696bdd90cd89f55f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Ruud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06af…4945backed Sinner | 78c | 7,500$5,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Ruud | 22c | 6,986$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.32 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Ruud | 23c | 4,423$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.37 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Ruud | 5c | 3,515$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Sinner | 76c | 3,063$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.18 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Ruud | 17c | 2,180$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.4 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sinner | 77c | 1,529$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.69 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Ruud | 24c | 1,410$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Ruud | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Sinner | 77c | 969.22$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.92 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Sinner | 77c | 962.36$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.34 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Sinner | 77c | 630$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Ruud | 26c | 620$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Sinner | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ruud | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6a…596fbacked Sinner | 77c | 393.22$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Sinner | 75c | 215$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Ruud | 24c | 204$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Ruud | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ruud | 15c | 148$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…6ce4backed Sinner | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf043…61d9backed Sinner | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Sinner | 77c | 128.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ruud | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sinner | 74c | 114.05$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Ruud | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Ruud | 22c | 103.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Sinner | 78c | 88.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Sinner | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Sinner | 75c | 57.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf701…5d7abacked Sinner | 77c | 54.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…dee6backed Sinner | 77c | 41.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3e…9c71backed Sinner | 78c | 40.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.