MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cd88b8a798e3f86e92a4d5e3e79da454a58aee951b1f695184219b4ca492ab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof White Sox, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc08…0577backed Astros | 64c | 9,998$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,398.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…29babacked White Sox | 36c | 9,995$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Astros | 21c | 6,214$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 61c | 5,513$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.13 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Astros | 55c | 4,445$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.99 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 13c | 3,839$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.73 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed White Sox | 48c | 3,700$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.89 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked White Sox | 39c | 3,387$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.07 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Astros | 21c | 3,311$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.31 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 60c | 2,014$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.28 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Astros | 5c | 1,800$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed White Sox | 62c | 1,634$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.71 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 24c | 1,439$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.28 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked White Sox | 39c | 1,297$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.42 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d560backed Astros | 64c | 1,226$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…1c4bbacked White Sox | 36c | 1,226$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Astros | 39c | 1,146$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.99 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Astros | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Astros | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 39c | 999.96$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 78c | 976.88$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.49 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Astros | 61c | 820$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed White Sox | 72c | 691.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 38c | 675$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.46 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 27c | 654.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 38c | 579.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed White Sox | 38c | 561.55$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.25 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox | 38c | 498.19$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Astros | 61c | 476$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Astros | 18c | 471.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 19c | 463$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…c8dcbacked Astros | 38c | 417.87$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Astros | 45c | 400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.76 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…39f3backed Astros | 13c | 358.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…7ec2backed Astros | 32c | 312.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Astros | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Astros | 23c | 300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked White Sox | 35c | 280$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Astros | 60c | 275.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 64c | 264$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 15c | 255.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…cbccbacked Astros | 12c | 251.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Astros | 23c | 233.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Astros | 56c | 232.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Astros | 61c | 220$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 38c | 212$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Astros | 43c | 196.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 61c | 191$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Astros | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed White Sox | 75c | 166.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked White Sox | 71c | 164.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19f…4597backed Astros | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Astros | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…b2b9backed Astros | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 16c | 151.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked White Sox | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…42e4backed White Sox | 40c | 146.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 31c | 131.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…f0adbacked White Sox | 40c | 128.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed White Sox | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe319…0474backed Astros | 49c | 122.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…8e76backed Astros | 62c | 110.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…d0afbacked White Sox | 40c | 106.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…8fedbacked Astros | 62c | 105.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…7473backed Astros | 62c | 101.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed White Sox | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Astros | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed White Sox | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked White Sox | 34c | 94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked White Sox | 41c | 92.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…8a60backed White Sox | 40c | 90.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Astros | 54c | 89.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…29b5backed Astros | 62c | 85.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…ebcebacked Astros | 62c | 67.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1319backed Astros | 62c | 66.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked White Sox | 77c | 65.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Astros | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…ca82backed White Sox | 40c | 63.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Astros | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…1859backed White Sox | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Astros | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…e353backed White Sox | 39c | 59.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…2338backed Astros | 62c | 57.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…7c96backed Astros | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Astros | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Astros | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…48fabacked White Sox | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Astros | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.