MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1b841541d49e55ea02766ba04c77cd381041f599f52a7b1c0e18c974ea95fd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Phillies, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Phillies | 51c | 28,488$14,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,593.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…8742backed Phillies | 0c | 17,050$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 11,664$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,065.43 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Blue Jays | 49c | 11,187$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.9 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Phillies | 52c | 10,892$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 6,571$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.19 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 52c | 6,107$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 50c | 5,150$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 49c | 5,145$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.33 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 47c | 4,111$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.13 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 54c | 3,610$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.74 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Blue Jays | 49c | 3,427$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.79 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 2,524$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.81 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 36c | 2,363$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,167$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.1 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Blue Jays | 56c | 2,124$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.46 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 2,036$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Phillies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jays | 49c | 1,856$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.73 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,673$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.45 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,650$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.91 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 51c | 1,600$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Blue Jays | 63c | 1,578$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.13 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Phillies | 45c | 1,380$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Phillies | 44c | 1,249$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.7 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Phillies | 62c | 1,120$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.57 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Phillies | 63c | 1,100$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 888$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Phillies | 51c | 888$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Phillies | 60c | 875$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.12 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Phillies | 74c | 722.37$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.78 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Blue Jays | 59c | 690$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.9 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 49c | 688.01$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.79 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 665.08$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.07 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Phillies | 47c | 642.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 49c | 501.92$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…eb7cbacked Phillies | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x109a…a540backed Phillies | 59c | 493.74$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Phillies | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Phillies | 45c | 457.64$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 48c | 456$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.91 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Phillies | 45c | 448.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Blue Jays | 68c | 443.58$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 39c | 421.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Blue Jays | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37aa…00febacked Blue Jays | 50c | 400$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jays | 38c | 365.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.68 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Blue Jays | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 333.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Phillies | 17c | 329$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…4d4cbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…37cdbacked Phillies | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Phillies | 62c | 293$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.66 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Blue Jays | 34c | 285.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.52 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Blue Jays | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Phillies | 51c | 245.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Phillies | 42c | 237.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…2ee0backed Blue Jays | 51c | 231.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c5a4backed Phillies | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Blue Jays | 48c | 208.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 205.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 51c | 198.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Phillies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 185.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Blue Jays | 60c | 173.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Blue Jays | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…7473backed Phillies | 51c | 163.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Phillies | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 156.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Blue Jays | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Phillies | 37c | 147.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Blue Jays | 57c | 143.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…1b55backed Phillies | 51c | 137.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Phillies | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 130.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…ff38backed Blue Jays | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bed…8a60backed Phillies | 51c | 124.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9858…2a5fbacked Phillies | 51c | 121.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Phillies | 51c | 114.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5e…216dbacked Phillies | 50c | 113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed5…72aebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2456…7864backed Blue Jays | 50c | 112.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 50c | 110.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 56c | 108$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…80a4backed Blue Jays | 50c | 107.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Phillies | 55c | 105.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…6e69backed Phillies | 51c | 104.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…ce76backed Blue Jays | 50c | 102.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.