MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65bca99602b0abf9f652b6bf9500750f129058d8218404074f79dbd707b985fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Padres | 47c | 20,448$9,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,837.66 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Padres | 43c | 10,447$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,954.68 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 9,989$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Diamondbacks | 1c | 9,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 8,706$4,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.14 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 6,330$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.45 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 60c | 5,815$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.8 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 57c | 5,811$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.45 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 5,142$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.73 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Padres | 47c | 4,283$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.07 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 72c | 3,705$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.32 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…4effbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,600$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 44c | 3,304$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 31c | 3,021$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 2,879$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.17 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,670$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.49 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 2,627$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 70c | 2,388$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.18 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 58c | 2,370$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.25 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,263$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 2,194$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 78c | 2,192$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Diamondbacks | 17c | 2,166$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.6 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,119$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.36 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Padres | 46c | 1,944$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.76 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Diamondbacks | 20c | 1,303$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…0f68backed Padres | 46c | 1,227$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…31fcbacked Padres | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd890…5834backed Padres | 46c | 1,189$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Diamondbacks | 24c | 1,178$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.45 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,105$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.53 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,030$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.56 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,015$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Padres | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Padres | 60c | 919$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.29 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 834.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 2c | 830.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 794.38$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Diamondbacks | 8c | 718.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 704$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 671.87$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.17 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 630$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Padres | 45c | 619$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.45 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 464.4$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.78 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 67c | 454.44$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 421.03$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.08 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 369$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Diamondbacks | 32c | 360.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 350$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Padres | 45c | 283.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 221.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Diamondbacks | 7c | 205.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 21c | 199.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Padres | 80c | 189.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Diamondbacks | 23c | 137.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Padres | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 127$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 121.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 119.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 117$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Padres | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 98.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Padres | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 91.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Padres | 45c | 87.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Padres | 47c | 84.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Diamondbacks | 29c | 69.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Padres | 70c | 65.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…44a3backed Padres | 46c | 57.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 75c | 53.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…adf4backed Padres | 46c | 52.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Padres | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac1…b28bbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 46.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Padres | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Padres | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.