Fifa International · resolved market
Will Czechia beat Croatia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c022d12c5911fba7e9fb40329840ac4f2979bc0e5363bd9e61576f73d4e4fc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 78c | 11,405$8,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 22c | 8,623$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.95 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 13c | 2,941$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.35 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 22c | 2,331$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.13 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,760$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.99 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…cfc1backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 22c | 943.01$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.39 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 3c | 708.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 76c | 684.99$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 77c | 554.38$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 77c | 480.51$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed No | 79c | 129.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked No | 77c | 103.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 24c | 95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea8…57d7backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czechia beat Croatia?this page
- Will Croatia beat Czechia?Yes won
- Will Croatia vs. Czechia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.