Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia beat Czechia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e921decb87e1108a135076972c6cb0fc6baf583721a0c5304f59cb880864a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 44c | 7,041$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.36 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Yes | 56c | 2,938$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 52c | 2,293$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.35 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 49c | 1,888$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.34 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Yes | 72c | 1,671$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 52c | 1,597$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.7 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed No | 52c | 1,330$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Yes | 50c | 1,192$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.14 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 52c | 976.54$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.3 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 48c | 930$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.6 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked No | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 49c | 708.03$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.1 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 50c | 600.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 52c | 456.37$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.71 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 50c | 402.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 48c | 343.62$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…e43fbacked Yes | 50c | 305.88$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Yes | 52c | 302.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Yes | 48c | 238.17$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 42c | 234.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…0471backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c1…b34bbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…8135backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 48c | 173.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f5…84f0backed Yes | 63c | 151.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 52c | 142.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Yes | 70c | 125.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 49c | 106.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…7dc7backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…eb54backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 52c | 86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 32cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…4f83backed Yes | 56c | 62.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…cd23backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 50c | 60.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…f055backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…0b7abacked Yes | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes | 72c | 51.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdea8…57d7backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed No | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…d409backed No | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…f98fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…8f04backed Yes | 75c | 40.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…ccdbbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6a…f057backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia beat Czechia?this page
- Will Croatia vs. Czechia end in a draw?No won
- Will Czechia beat Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.