CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: G2 vs. paiN
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6fac73b8dbcab81cbac61d47d917cccde4fbaadc6fd4204e2db127ff5600494
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked paiN | 57c | 17,991$10,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.37 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked G2 | 43c | 11,725$4,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,735.61 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed G2 | 44c | 5,758$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.62 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed G2 | 75c | 4,965$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.08 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed paiN | 55c | 3,714$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 45c | 3,536$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.9 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed G2 | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked paiN | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed paiN | 56c | 1,873$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked G2 | 47c | 1,610$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed paiN | 11c | 1,500$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed G2 | 50c | 1,059$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.96 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed paiN | 5c | 1,006$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed G2 | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed paiN | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed G2 | 45c | 999.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.99 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked G2 | 47c | 640$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked paiN | 47c | 590$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…6aaabacked paiN | 55c | 582.25$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked paiN | 56c | 535.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked G2 | 47c | 523$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.19 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked paiN | 54c | 507.45$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked G2 | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked G2 | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed paiN | 54c | 470.37$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked paiN | 55c | 365.58$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.07 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…4743backed G2 | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed paiN | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked G2 | 45c | 224$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked G2 | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed paiN | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed paiN | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked paiN | 53c | 156.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked G2 | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked paiN | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked G2 | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed paiN | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked G2 | 46c | 97.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa4…b57abacked paiN | 55c | 91.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed G2 | 45c | 89.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 | 46c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed G2 | 80c | 77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed paiN | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed G2 | 45c | 68.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…b8f4backed G2 | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed G2 | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed paiN | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…05a0backed G2 | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed paiN | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked paiN | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked paiN | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed G2 | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed paiN | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.