MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fe0be52c29685ab6b96e6d7bd6057977083939e1a8c9e2e95c82a2e1ad694af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Nationals, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $616,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $613,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $616,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Mets | 66c | 384,661$253,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,897.18 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Nationals | 34c | 127,698$43,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,018.08 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 34c | 64,912$21,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,867.48 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 34c | 54,468$18,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,519.08 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Nationals | 34c | 44,427$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Nationals | 39c | 40,000$15,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,544.47 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nationals | 34c | 33,833$11,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,426.5 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Nationals | 33c | 25,000$8,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,237.55 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 63c | 10,954$6,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.27 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…b708backed Mets | 70c | 9,995$6,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…db49backed Nationals | 30c | 9,995$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 33c | 6,329$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.42 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Nationals | 13c | 6,264$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.94 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 65c | 5,666$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Nationals | 34c | 5,581$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.44 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 24c | 5,580$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.52 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mets | 66c | 5,472$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.4 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mets | 69c | 5,234$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.88 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 0c | 5,212$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Nationals | 0c | 5,119$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 18c | 4,811$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.01 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 23c | 4,785$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 33c | 4,069$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.55 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Nationals | 34c | 3,380$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.16 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Nationals | 34c | 3,333$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Nationals | 34c | 3,120$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.05 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mets | 69c | 3,107$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.82 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 18c | 3,084$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Nationals | 34c | 2,700$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nationals | 34c | 2,353$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.02 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…ad95backed Nationals | 1c | 2,127$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mets | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 33c | 1,755$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.15 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals | 26c | 1,730$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.4 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749a…6103backed Mets | 75c | 1,608$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…94f3backed Mets | 70c | 1,536$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.9 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Nationals | 14c | 1,516$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…ef4bbacked Nationals | 31c | 1,508$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nationals | 34c | 1,505$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.7 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Mets | 69c | 1,505$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Mets | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 4c | 1,440$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets | 68c | 1,372$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.36 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 1c | 1,282$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals | 1c | 1,202$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 34c | 1,175$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals | 21c | 1,102$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.61 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Mets | 71c | 1,037$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.86 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 67c | 844.89$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.87 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Nationals | 34c | 770.68$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.03 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 68c | 770.28$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.49 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Nationals | 6c | 720.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Nationals | 20c | 694.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Nationals | 32c | 660.49$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Nationals | 30c | 647.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Mets | 68c | 618.51$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mets | 77c | 614.54$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.36 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Mets | 71c | 544.48$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mets | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nationals | 4c | 469.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…a476backed Mets | 77c | 461.64$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Nationals | 30c | 448.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.54 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Nationals | 34c | 447$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 31c | 437.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 70c | 428.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mets | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mets | 80c | 394.21$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Nationals | 28c | 370$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Nationals | 30c | 331.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 32c | 317.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 70c | 302.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mets | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Nationals | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Nationals | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…8276backed Nationals | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Mets | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Mets | 68c | 296.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mets | 71c | 295.06$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Mets | 69c | 289.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…3c68backed Mets | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 31c | 280.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 80c | 246.93$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Mets | 66c | 240$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Nationals | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 62c | 209.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Mets | 70c | 202.46$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Nationals | 23c | 200.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Nationals | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Nationals | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.