CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: 3DMAX vs. NAVI
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4595cc932952e53bdebb3facfafbfc26088e50555b1ba2b9e574675fe49fd7fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVIof 3DMAX, NAVI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7600…4478backed 3DMAX | 41c | 1,872$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.11 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked NAVI | 44c | 1,787$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.07 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked 3DMAX | 35c | 1,561$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.33 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed NAVI | 42c | 1,495$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.6 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed NAVI | 70c | 1,307$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.26 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked 3DMAX | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked NAVI | 67c | 1,200$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.26 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed NAVI | 19c | 1,196$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.4 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…6aaabacked NAVI | 69c | 1,065$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed NAVI | 4c | 1,044$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.62 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed NAVI | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed 3DMAX | 39c | 967.66$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.43 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked NAVI | 65c | 712$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed NAVI | 65c | 619.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.94 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked 3DMAX | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed 3DMAX | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed NAVI | 64c | 402$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked NAVI | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…4743backed 3DMAX | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked NAVI | 64c | 359.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked NAVI | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed 3DMAX | 36c | 289.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked 3DMAX | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked NAVI | 64c | 226.89$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked 3DMAX | 37c | 225$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed NAVI | 58c | 215$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed 3DMAX | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed 3DMAX | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed 3DMAX | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed NAVI | 42c | 176$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed 3DMAX | 36c | 121.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed 3DMAX | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed 3DMAX | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked NAVI | 70c | 99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked 3DMAX | 36c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…05a0backed NAVI | 31c | 89.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed 3DMAX | 40c | 74.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed NAVI | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked 3DMAX | 49c | 60.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked NAVI | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d19…198fbacked NAVI | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked 3DMAX | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed 3DMAX | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed 3DMAX | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…b3f0backed NAVI | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…de52backed 3DMAX | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…3490backed NAVI | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked NAVI | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.