MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3125f36ec18158aa523cdd4b18bf4568db189ac73264d51d68de369756deb85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Mariners, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mariners | 46c | 21,090$9,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,701.49 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 16,000$8,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,533.94 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Mariners | 45c | 15,544$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 12,317$6,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,665.82 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 11,572$6,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners | 1c | 8,675$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 47c | 6,794$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.76 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Mariners | 20c | 6,788$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.06 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 6,534$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.31 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 14c | 4,948$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.13 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…c4dabacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 4,935$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 74c | 4,118$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.58 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,750$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.53 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 51c | 3,461$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.32 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Mariners | 43c | 2,673$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.29 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 2,341$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Mariners | 43c | 2,210$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.56 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 3c | 2,135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mariners | 47c | 2,088$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.36 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Mariners | 47c | 1,999$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.53 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Mariners | 25c | 1,965$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 1c | 1,694$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mariners | 1c | 1,592$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Mariners | 36c | 1,588$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mariners | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Mariners | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.93 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mariners | 14c | 1,436$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,300$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.13 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,187$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.14 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mariners | 2c | 1,114$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Mariners | 2c | 1,022$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,018$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.54 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mariners | 6c | 1,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mariners | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 45c | 999.86$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.94 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 25c | 888$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.22 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 47c | 885.62$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.24 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Mariners | 4c | 882.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 765.28$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.22 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mariners | 45c | 717.91$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.06 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners | 49c | 685.88$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.89 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 43c | 669$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.67 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mariners | 46c | 648.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Mariners | 44c | 640.95$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.02 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Mariners | 47c | 539.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 535.7$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.61 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Mariners | 40c | 512.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Mariners | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 10c | 440$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 433.35$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.68 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Diamondbacks | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Mariners | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 309.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Mariners | 45c | 299.88$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 275.85$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 270.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Diamondbacks | 77c | 258.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mariners | 40c | 241.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Mariners | 50c | 238$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mariners | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Mariners | 47c | 226.67$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mariners | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mariners | 47c | 204.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 24c | 204.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Mariners | 45c | 199.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05a…398bbacked Mariners | 45c | 199.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…cf9cbacked Mariners | 15c | 198.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 197.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 28c | 190$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…2ee0backed Mariners | 49c | 186.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mariners | 48c | 174.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…f0adbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 167.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 43c | 161.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Mariners | 44c | 159.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…faafbacked Mariners | 50c | 147.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…93e9backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 133.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…ca82backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 130.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…9756backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 129.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…7473backed Mariners | 50c | 122.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Mariners | 45c | 111.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1319backed Mariners | 47c | 109.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 104$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Mariners | 27c | 102.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 46c | 98.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 98.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Mariners | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…2461backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 97.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…3187backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 96.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.