CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: B8 vs. Lynn Vision
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5c66e666af22b21156c9bced62e15177273b3d7c550a0b874c98d4b4c73a062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof B8, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked B8 | 65c | 25,334$16,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,589.75 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed B8 | 51c | 16,076$8,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,146.51 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Lynn Vision | 30c | 15,516$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,785.11 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Lynn Vision | 46c | 14,253$6,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,767.35 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Lynn Vision | 80c | 9,755$7,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.68 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Lynn Vision | 30c | 8,450$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,934.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lynn Vision | 32c | 6,005$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086.99 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed B8 | 71c | 5,356$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.12 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed B8 | 0c | 4,252$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed B8 | 68c | 3,409$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.04 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 3,087$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.87 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Lynn Vision | 60c | 3,046$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.01 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked B8 | 72c | 2,872$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.44 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed B8 | 71c | 2,812$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.21 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lynn Vision | 62c | 2,680$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.83 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed B8 | 31c | 2,585$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.39 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed B8 | 71c | 1,662$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.17 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked B8 | 71c | 1,555$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.05 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed B8 | 52c | 1,518$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.21 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked B8 | 63c | 1,409$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.52 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.48 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Lynn Vision | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Lynn Vision | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed B8 | 71c | 699.99$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.99 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed B8 | 70c | 658$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.79 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed B8 | 54c | 557.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 540.56$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.43 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked B8 | 72c | 502.98$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…64f4backed Lynn Vision | 44c | 456.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Lynn Vision | 59c | 444$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 433.1$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.84 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 417.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.32 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed Lynn Vision | 28c | 362$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.64 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd216…971fbacked B8 | 72c | 350.4$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Lynn Vision | 56c | 349$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed B8 | 71c | 333.1$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed B8 | 33c | 315.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed B8 | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed B8 | 6c | 296$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked B8 | 43c | 288.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked B8 | 21c | 286.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed Lynn Vision | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Lynn Vision | 28c | 242$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Lynn Vision | 51c | 230$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed B8 | 50c | 212.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked B8 | 70c | 199$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed B8 | 65c | 188.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed B8 | 42c | 168.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…4344backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed B8 | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22e…8eb7backed B8 | 43c | 131.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Lynn Vision | 39c | 107.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Lynn Vision | 42c | 106.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…c98bbacked Lynn Vision | 54c | 104.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed B8 | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed B8 | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…04e4backed Lynn Vision | 54c | 93.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked B8 | 70c | 90.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Lynn Vision | 60c | 74.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Lynn Vision | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…4441backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed B8 | 72c | 57.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 348 | 48.3%168 W · 180 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…7d92backed Lynn Vision | 45c | 57.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked B8 | 73c | 56.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Lynn Vision | 34c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Lynn Vision | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Lynn Vision | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lynn Vision | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…038bbacked B8 | 59c | 35.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…ab71backed B8 | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed B8 | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed B8 | 72c | 21.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Lynn Vision | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.