CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. FaZe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b44726185913ca3d59780f511062f0fb17ecc260e70b05cf146c8473f07519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof MOUZ, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked MOUZ | 67c | 3,381$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.33 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked FaZe | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed FaZe | 32c | 2,895$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.36 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ | 62c | 2,555$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.87 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed MOUZ | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked FaZe | 32c | 1,652$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked FaZe | 35c | 1,600$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed FaZe | 55c | 905.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.59 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked MOUZ | 72c | 825$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.7 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed MOUZ | 6c | 819.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed FaZe | 45c | 652.65$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.65 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed MOUZ | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed MOUZ | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MOUZ | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed MOUZ | 50c | 499.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked FaZe | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 55c | 420.7$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.13 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed FaZe | 33c | 415.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.11 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed FaZe | 32c | 313.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.35 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked MOUZ | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed FaZe | 32c | 299.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked FaZe | 32c | 290$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 66c | 276.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.27 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed FaZe | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed MOUZ | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FaZe | 32c | 170$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked FaZe | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked MOUZ | 68c | 146.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ | 45c | 138.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked FaZe | 16c | 119.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed MOUZ | 39c | 117.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed MOUZ | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed FaZe | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…9516backed FaZe | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked FaZe | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed MOUZ | 68c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked FaZe | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked MOUZ | 60c | 47.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…89b3backed FaZe | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked FaZe | 64c | 38.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…3490backed FaZe | 48c | 31.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked MOUZ | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed FaZe | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.