TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Rockies, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rockies25c20,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00015553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies25c18,696$4,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,665.091,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Mets75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db7…56cdbacked Mets76c9,995$7,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…74cebacked Rockies24c9,995$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mets75c9,677$7,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.121,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies26c8,896$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.0221740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Mets75c8,297$6,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.2721356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Rockies25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9914048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies10c5,976$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.342,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mets79c5,624$4,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.6486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Mets73c5,157$3,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.4760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rockies27c4,917$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.5469249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets75c3,449$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.852,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies24c3,432$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.351,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies13c3,280$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.311,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies25c3,217$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.131,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies26c2,004$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.11,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked Mets76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c40…583bbacked Rockies24c1,977$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.481844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Mets74c1,957$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.917651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Mets75c1,726$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Mets74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39025550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Mets74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.358457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Mets77c1,305$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.057451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Mets75c1,213$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.332955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies25c1,080$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25092754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Mets75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mets74c997.96$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4741643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Rockies26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies25c844.67$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4385047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mets75c750$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rockies25c701.63$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4150852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mets79c700$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Rockies4c684.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3913262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f38…ac6dbacked Rockies26c664.19$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.69812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-70.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbcde…499fbacked Rockies25c656.42$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mets75c632.57$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.185,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f7…6d77backed Rockies27c622.51$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Rockies9c562.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockies19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb25e…39aabacked Mets78c525$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.52045%9 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mets74c519.19$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9924553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Mets74c499.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x372b…2edabacked Mets75c470.37$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.59977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Mets75c455$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.754546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Rockies15c445.29$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.947841%32 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mets77c398.82$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Mets76c393.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0719233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mets75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7568656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Mets73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8113555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Rockies20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…8b05backed Mets75c270.97$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.741172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Mets74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2717866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x357c…1ea1backed Rockies26c263.46$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc2…7ddebacked Mets75c261.91$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.742,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.742,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc07…50cabacked Mets76c256.78$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Mets74c254.95$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.297042.9%30 W · 40 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cbc…a87dbacked Mets75c248.51$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e0…6f02backed Mets75c244.2$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockies7c243.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdeb…fd7ebacked Mets75c243.19$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338a…259fbacked Rockies26c242.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.141127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17c7…4dbebacked Mets76c229.34$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2252…3f47backed Mets75c226.61$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.651070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfde0…3f06backed Mets75c225.39$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mets77c220.83$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec77…1660backed Mets76c212.39$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rockies7c211.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.652542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ad6…b329backed Mets75c209.33$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Mets75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c8…6bf3backed Rockies24c194.08$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…509abacked Mets75c193.48$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.374143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Mets75c192.87$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.223333.3%11 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c11…719fbacked Rockies26c171.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.532751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Rockies19c155.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.565358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Mets76c139.25$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1243250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Mets75c134.58$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5815256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Rockies15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206038.3%23 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4887…179dbacked Mets75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335352.8%28 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17ab…cdcbbacked Mets76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5812862.5%80 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24dc…bc71backed Mets77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed Mets77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.874864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockies25c113.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.891,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb59b…a8e0backed Mets74c112.42$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.232268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Rockies25c101$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2515644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Rockies11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b2…9790backed Mets75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5fc…b47dbacked Rockies26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Mets75c97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x537f…7ccebacked Rockies27c93.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.311154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Mets80c92.9$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5880680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Rockies24c89.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5941649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a0…d0afbacked Mets75c86.11$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.532948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets75c73.64$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.412,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.