MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x560debd6c864af76732569d72051749fcf7547baf150417d1add020142c46ac7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Royals | 54c | 41,491$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 251 | 51.8%130 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 46c | 14,013$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,611.58 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Royals | 52c | 6,400$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.95 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 47c | 6,380$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 45c | 4,510$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.4 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 48c | 4,296$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 48c | 3,575$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.23 | 1,359 | 50.8%690 W · 669 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Royals | 51c | 2,590$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.8 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Reds | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Royals | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 53c | 2,202$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.95 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 7c | 2,015$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2016…b4bebacked Royals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Royals | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Royals | 52c | 1,671$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.77 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 48c | 1,611$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.57 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Reds | 63c | 1,590$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.64 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 61c | 1,469$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.41 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Royals | 52c | 1,460$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 48c | 1,460$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.2 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 45c | 1,449$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.49 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Reds | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Reds | 55c | 1,239$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.28 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Royals | 52c | 1,022$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.53 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 51c | 1,019$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.19 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Royals | 53c | 1,007$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.71 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Reds | 47c | 989.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 53c | 952.65$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Reds | 47c | 849.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.49 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Royals | 5c | 745$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Royals | 10c | 705.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 52c | 639.81$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.7 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Reds | 76c | 453.14$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Royals | 29c | 437$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 47c | 423.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.56 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 75c | 413$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Royals | 53c | 411.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Royals | 6c | 401.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Royals | 51c | 368.12$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.69 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Reds | 46c | 303.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Royals | 43c | 300.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Royals | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Royals | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Royals | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Reds | 48c | 187$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Royals | 55c | 181.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Reds | 56c | 178.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Royals | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Reds | 53c | 112.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…55bebacked Reds | 48c | 109.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…e730backed Reds | 49c | 107.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…54e5backed Reds | 49c | 105.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Reds | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…5642backed Royals | 53c | 103.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…b15ebacked Royals | 52c | 102.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Reds | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…ae60backed Reds | 49c | 101.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…2cbbbacked Royals | 52c | 101.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…cc6dbacked Royals | 52c | 98.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…d650backed Reds | 49c | 91.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 27c | 90.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…31b9backed Royals | 52c | 87.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Royals | 38c | 82.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Royals | 53c | 80.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Reds | 56c | 79.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds | 48c | 71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Royals | 52c | 69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Reds | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Reds | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Reds | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Reds | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Royals | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…e358backed Reds | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7e…54ddbacked Reds | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Reds | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Reds | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2a…7bb2backed Reds | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Royals | 54c | 34.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Royals | 54c | 33.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Reds | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Royals | 53c | 28.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…2941backed Royals | 56c | 27.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 53c | 23.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2,058 | 53.8%1,107 W · 951 L | +33.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 47c | 21.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…ccb1backed Reds | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Reds | 54c | 20.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.