MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b43d1d41d16ded665ae8360ff3eea44a236e2263f86389461c00be51ab64d51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Athletics, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Blue Jays | 63c | 11,743$7,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.75 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…2de9backed Blue Jays | 61c | 9,998$6,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb698…f8bebacked Athletics | 39c | 9,995$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Athletics | 23c | 8,522$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 22c | 7,535$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 36c | 7,017$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.62 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Athletics | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 77c | 5,338$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.98 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 38c | 5,176$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.66 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 62c | 3,754$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.42 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Blue Jays | 61c | 3,249$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf637…d92ebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Athletics | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 62c | 2,368$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.25 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…88fdbacked Athletics | 40c | 2,325$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7675…dad7backed Athletics | 40c | 2,063$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c8…9011backed Athletics | 40c | 2,050$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Athletics | 40c | 1,988$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…d5f3backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,967$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…05aebacked Athletics | 40c | 1,900$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…d436backed Athletics | 40c | 1,899$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…5ee7backed Athletics | 40c | 1,863$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…5d3dbacked Athletics | 40c | 1,850$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…ac3dbacked Athletics | 40c | 1,850$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…531ebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,833$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…7c48backed Athletics | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 37c | 1,646$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.04 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…ace9backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c83…9655backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…7cdbbacked Athletics | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…ec01backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Athletics | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Athletics | 5c | 1,122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…abc5backed Athletics | 12c | 1,091$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 1,088$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.03 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 37c | 1,083$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.71 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a3…10c6backed Athletics | 40c | 1,077$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…5b24backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,075$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…7f04backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,071$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7828backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,067$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…efe2backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,057$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…2416backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,043$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb70…f9d5backed Athletics | 40c | 1,023$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 1,003$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…da08backed Athletics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5269…2301backed Blue Jays | 60c | 992$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…f825backed Blue Jays | 60c | 983$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…1924backed Blue Jays | 60c | 962$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…7bb1backed Blue Jays | 60c | 958$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…5547backed Blue Jays | 60c | 950$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 60c | 949.1$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.64 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…7cf5backed Blue Jays | 60c | 904$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Athletics | 5c | 900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 74c | 863.03$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…d685backed Blue Jays | 60c | 838$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 3c | 721.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Athletics | 6c | 690$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays | 78c | 644.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Athletics | 25c | 577.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 4c | 546.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfada…9502backed Athletics | 38c | 530.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Athletics | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Athletics | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…950ebacked Athletics | 37c | 491.46$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…62babacked Athletics | 38c | 474.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…1165backed Athletics | 38c | 472.11$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 459.25$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…c022backed Athletics | 38c | 397.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc1…d442backed Athletics | 38c | 385.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Athletics | 26c | 380$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…cbebbacked Athletics | 37c | 368.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…933dbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 341.08$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…dd14backed Blue Jays | 63c | 340.89$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fe…ae55backed Blue Jays | 63c | 333.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jays | 61c | 325.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…2103backed Blue Jays | 63c | 316.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Athletics | 39c | 315.19$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…7568backed Blue Jays | 64c | 302.23$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 69c | 300$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Blue Jays | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Blue Jays | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Athletics | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 41c | 298$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…072ebacked Blue Jays | 64c | 297.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…a80abacked Athletics | 38c | 290.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…eb2ebacked Blue Jays | 63c | 278.16$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Athletics | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 19c | 259.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…6e30backed Blue Jays | 64c | 258.7$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…89c4backed Blue Jays | 63c | 256.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…87d4backed Blue Jays | 63c | 245.27$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…5150backed Blue Jays | 63c | 243.22$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd46…bcd2backed Athletics | 5c | 240.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.