CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major: The MongolZ vs. Liquid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe90f2716d30064f1f0a9e3b79d2ded6364d78c1cb1e37c990abf65ed0564959d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The MongolZof The MongolZ, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked The MongolZ | 66c | 14,949$9,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,086.72 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Liquid | 34c | 9,415$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.33 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Liquid | 33c | 7,837$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.69 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Liquid | 36c | 7,463$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.98 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked The MongolZ | 68c | 4,342$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.12 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Liquid | 37c | 3,050$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.5 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed The MongolZ | 65c | 2,375$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.75 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…4999backed The MongolZ | 64c | 1,719$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.75 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed The MongolZ | 68c | 1,718$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Liquid | 37c | 1,620$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Liquid | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked The MongolZ | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Liquid | 34c | 1,211$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.81 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid | 36c | 1,070$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.48 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed The MongolZ | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Liquid | 37c | 844$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed The MongolZ | 64c | 778.48$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.48 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Liquid | 33c | 571.57$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed The MongolZ | 63c | 520$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed The MongolZ | 74c | 501.84$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Liquid | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Liquid | 37c | 475$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Liquid | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked The MongolZ | 64c | 345.15$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked The MongolZ | 67c | 338.81$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Liquid | 27c | 316.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Liquid | 32c | 310$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed The MongolZ | 65c | 270$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Liquid | 33c | 223$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Liquid | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed The MongolZ | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed The MongolZ | 54c | 189.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Liquid | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked The MongolZ | 63c | 159.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked Liquid | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Liquid | 33c | 121.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked The MongolZ | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Liquid | 36c | 92.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Liquid | 44c | 73.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed The MongolZ | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed The MongolZ | 64c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Liquid | 46c | 67.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked Liquid | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked The MongolZ | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked The MongolZ | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…7208backed The MongolZ | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked The MongolZ | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked The MongolZ | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f58…254cbacked Liquid | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked The MongolZ | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa4…b3f0backed The MongolZ | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked The MongolZ | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.