Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd1c9c355583f950c76a09bb2e305789043712121800bb5a7abe491a5ee58871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb16c…e879backed No | 1c | 12,067$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…fb5dbacked No | 1c | 9,432$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0b8bbacked No | 1c | 6,644$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 1c | 5,656$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 6c | 5,182$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 31c | 4,780$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.35 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 69c | 2,789$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 2c | 2,612$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed No | 1c | 1,714$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 34c | 1,400$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…3a9cbacked No | 2c | 1,214$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…6435backed No | 3c | 999.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 75c | 965.57$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…fe3cbacked No | 1c | 910$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 1c | 843.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 10c | 812.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 23c | 699.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…dc27backed Yes | 65c | 672.3$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 75c | 639.97$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.96 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 11c | 615.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 67c | 543.84$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…b754backed No | 5c | 463.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 17c | 462.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 12c | 445.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed Yes | 71c | 431.38$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 22c | 398.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 71c | 380.52$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 33c | 372.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…81efbacked No | 30c | 335.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 7c | 316$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 79c | 280.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 70c | 278.19$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 13c | 196.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 64c | 153$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 26c | 148.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…42e2backed Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 66c | 137.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…1d35backed Yes | 73c | 136.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Yes | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 71c | 124.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c0…6867backed Yes | 64c | 118.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…de7ebacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…e480backed Yes | 63c | 80.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 32c | 62.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 27c | 56.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 72c | 55.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 57c | 39.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…d6f1backed Yes | 74c | 27.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…eb33backed Yes | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…5f47backed No | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed Yes | 63c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9289…d588backed Yes | 76c | 24.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…54d1backed Yes | 75c | 23.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…0789backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de7…1a7fbacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd26…62d3backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 67c | 20.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…a280backed Yes | 75c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…2635backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1054…9271backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…4b77backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8626…8034backed Yes | 75c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaceb…f41bbacked Yes | 75c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…9e9cbacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8938…d520backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…3ef9backed Yes | 77c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…a0a5backed Yes | 77c | 19.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f961backed Yes | 78c | 19.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…ef47backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 71c | 15.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.