Boxing · resolved market
Will Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. win his boxing match against?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71aafc1bf4b475a828b2f1fe0ee370bd6f96cf2ffc35c772e16434d3dd3e926f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 18c | 6,361$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…d36abacked Yes | 16c | 5,650$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 15c | 1,863$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 21c | 1,830$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…c4bebacked Yes | 16c | 1,342$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 17c | 1,058$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 79c | 939.04$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 4c | 808.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f5…a5ebbacked Yes | 11c | 790.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715f…a096backed Yes | 11c | 626.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…4dddbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09a…6a55backed Yes | 15c | 595$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed Yes | 15c | 552.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 11c | 550.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…194cbacked Yes | 18c | 532.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 14c | 507.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4600…4352backed Yes | 16c | 392.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ac…a667backed Yes | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 12c | 331$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…7e0dbacked Yes | 15c | 328.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a61…e424backed Yes | 9c | 325$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…c416backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked Yes | 16c | 297.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…99b9backed Yes | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ef…11b4backed Yes | 19c | 264.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 17c | 237.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…114dbacked Yes | 17c | 234.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 12c | 233$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…fda4backed Yes | 17c | 223.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 215.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…ba40backed Yes | 16c | 201.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…f5b7backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x619c…aad9backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838e…21b8backed Yes | 17c | 172.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…5fabbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…f632backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes | 18c | 151.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…d1fbbacked Yes | 15c | 150.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…4f68backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…7fdcbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 10c | 110.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…6cdcbacked Yes | 16c | 102$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…afa2backed Yes | 20c | 100.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…484abacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca25…aecebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…04f5backed Yes | 18c | 95.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1e…dbc3backed Yes | 17c | 90.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…0f75backed Yes | 15c | 83.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. win his boxing match against?this page
- Will Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. have no official winner?No won
- Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.