Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89fdbf8fae16794cce334e727522c4c13c6ab35a27e59593fefedf4937712d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 30c | 29,170$8,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,857.4 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 70c | 26,777$18,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,141.43 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…4073backed Yes | 3c | 25,938$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 2c | 19,887$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 16c | 14,026$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed Yes | 3c | 13,023$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…a5c8backed Yes | 3c | 11,526$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 6c | 11,492$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.42 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5712…c795backed Yes | 5c | 10,968$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…313ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,429$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…8cf6backed Yes | 3c | 8,670$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 1c | 7,400$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 0c | 7,314$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…91bdbacked Yes | 3c | 6,746$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 1c | 4,700$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…9d7cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,546$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,754$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,663$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…6548backed Yes | 3c | 3,591$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…2edabacked Yes | 3c | 3,353$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1373…1d26backed Yes | 1c | 3,144$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…9ecfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,019$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…2916backed Yes | 1c | 3,012$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…0ad5backed Yes | 1c | 2,819$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 3c | 2,582$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…b2ccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,422$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 4c | 2,200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 71c | 2,161$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.86 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…951abacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 5c | 1,570$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4881…540bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,526$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 4c | 1,185$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 66 | 3%2 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…6968backed Yes | 2c | 1,175$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,090$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 7c | 1,073$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…8699backed Yes | 1c | 1,016$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dc…528fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,012$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 12c | 989$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…5e7fbacked Yes | 1c | 969.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 5c | 895.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…42bbbacked Yes | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5972…32e6backed Yes | 1c | 812.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 16cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…6771backed Yes | 23c | 796.1$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348b…33fdbacked Yes | 2c | 770$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 14c | 674.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…507bbacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b59…ba17backed Yes | 2c | 625.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 16c | 600$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…a628backed Yes | 3c | 554$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Yes | 3c | 539.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…ea45backed Yes | 13c | 503.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…eedabacked Yes | 6c | 500.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 19c | 484.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 468$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc3…b89ebacked Yes | 4c | 467.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…68fdbacked Yes | 7c | 459.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…aab5backed Yes | 3c | 458.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 4c | 457.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…7661backed Yes | 4c | 448$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 77c | 422.84$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…6a63backed Yes | 4c | 375.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 16c | 361$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…e62cbacked Yes | 4c | 356.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 9c | 337.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…3040backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…36f3backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 32c | 326$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5211…632cbacked Yes | 3c | 316.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…a2eebacked Yes | 3c | 303.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 5c | 294.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf2…e969backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…2965backed Yes | 5c | 283.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +170.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked Yes | 17c | 270$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 15c | 264.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc0…4410backed Yes | 5c | 253.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 20c | 250.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed Yes | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 55c | 174.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +10.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 26c | 160.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…0eeebacked Yes | 19c | 132$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 14c | 131.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d4…c2acbacked No | 68c | 129.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +181.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…eb2dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 15c | 103.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…f5b7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…9cbabacked Yes | 21c | 97.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 13c | 92.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 20c | 86.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 15c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.