Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action against Iran before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb12a219f75d35ad91ee9428d22e47f1ee6de61f5d79466b1749c8b66aed2f2d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $698,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $622,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 3c | 47,200$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…fb37backed Yes | 7c | 23,723$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed Yes | 1c | 21,300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25f…0607backed Yes | 7c | 21,021$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 9c | 19,634$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.66 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 17,100$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 4c | 16,000$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.16 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 9c | 15,206$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.25 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 11c | 14,533$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.43 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…2677backed Yes | 4c | 14,473$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…951abacked Yes | 7c | 13,575$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.63 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…a9c9backed Yes | 9c | 13,414$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.82 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…a0f3backed Yes | 19c | 12,386$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.17 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 10,692$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afd…7e8dbacked Yes | 8c | 10,313$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 15c | 9,166$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…666fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,695$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.05 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 12c | 6,589$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 5c | 5,902$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.48 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 11c | 5,816$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.51 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 8c | 5,471$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.4 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…91bdbacked Yes | 11c | 4,784$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.86 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9298…da43backed Yes | 15c | 4,731$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…ef1abacked Yes | 8c | 4,630$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,346$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,712$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 10c | 3,656$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.65 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…5d20backed Yes | 9c | 3,507$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.01 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5972…32e6backed Yes | 8c | 3,313$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 16cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 7c | 3,171$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.43 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…38f0backed Yes | 10c | 3,112$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 13c | 2,969$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.08 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…9122backed Yes | 8c | 2,963$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.05 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…4e05backed Yes | 2c | 2,914$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…2134backed Yes | 7c | 2,894$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.58 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…9a30backed Yes | 1c | 2,293$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…19f4backed Yes | 6c | 2,217$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 11c | 2,213$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.2 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 5c | 2,050$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,005$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…eb29backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes | 9c | 1,900$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…70b2backed Yes | 10c | 1,881$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…da83backed Yes | 11c | 1,850$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…d2a1backed Yes | 9c | 1,821$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…87b1backed Yes | 11c | 1,789$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 8c | 1,567$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,489$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…b0cfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,355$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…c669backed Yes | 11c | 1,279$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 10c | 1,230$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 6c | 1,194$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,144$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8ae6backed Yes | 8c | 1,063$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 12c | 1,004$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +58%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f51ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fd07backed Yes | 14c | 958.11$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 955.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…2ffebacked Yes | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 10c | 937$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…0193backed Yes | 7c | 929.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +12.8wins | +0.26per pick | 27cpaid | +106%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x76a9…da27backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 11c | 878.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…e713backed Yes | 6c | 867.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 9c | 850$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…06c3backed Yes | 18c | 819.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 13c | 800$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…3ccbbacked Yes | 14c | 776.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 46c | 740.37$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 10c | 735.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 15c | 714.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed Yes | 10c | 711.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Yes | 6c | 709.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6f37backed Yes | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…a1e0backed Yes | 10c | 666.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…4660backed Yes | 20c | 621.75$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1008…d2efbacked Yes | 8c | 620.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…d32ebacked Yes | 6c | 620$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…32e3backed Yes | 5c | 619.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…4b04backed Yes | 6c | 575$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…9e7ebacked Yes | 3c | 571.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 10c | 571.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 542.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…0406backed Yes | 3c | 510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 10c | 505.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…ea89backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…0b9bbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 3c | 489$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f71…1016backed Yes | 5c | 487.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 11c | 475$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…f7ecbacked Yes | 5c | 460$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…012ebacked Yes | 5c | 420$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.