Tennis · resolved market
Will Jasmine Paolini win the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f3c4b6c31d6426cccba840de35f94eaf1ab2d11af8d4128e000a39378527cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 64c | 1,110$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.39 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yes | 36c | 554.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.58 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 35c | 552$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.07 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d47…30aabacked Yes | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 179.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 36c | 120.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 64c | 82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 37c | 76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…5e7fbacked Yes | 20c | 63.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +288.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 30c | 47.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…8ab2backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a3…e630backed Yes | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tournament?this page
- Will Coco Gauff win the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tournament?No won
- Will Elina Svitolina win the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.