F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44f381acda56e50f0bddec38a249cbb0fdd3d98f8a1ae8e8b2367ad542a240da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $835,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $974,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $835,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 0c | 107,196$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 1cpaid | +710%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 29,999$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 67c | 16,984$11,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 28c | 13,711$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.86 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed No | 0c | 13,031$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 67c | 10,449$6,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 3c | 7,918$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 7,370$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.8 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 74c | 7,287$5,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f6fbbacked No | 1c | 7,175$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 11c | 6,926$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.61 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e14…88b7backed No | 3c | 4,881$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…a9c8backed Yes | 69c | 4,753$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked No | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 25c | 3,961$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.45 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 17c | 3,343$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…c9f9backed Yes | 80c | 3,250$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…24d0backed No | 21c | 3,243$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 63c | 3,193$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.97 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…25b8backed Yes | 68c | 3,173$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…7747backed No | 3c | 3,168$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…8f8dbacked Yes | 71c | 3,147$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74f…164abacked Yes | 62c | 3,110$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…df65backed Yes | 60c | 2,839$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 1c | 2,761$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 79c | 2,663$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.79 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 71c | 2,420$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f94…eaebbacked Yes | 75c | 2,304$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…15d5backed Yes | 64c | 2,136$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 16c | 2,108$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.48 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…b49ebacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed No | 28c | 1,885$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…e8aabacked Yes | 75c | 1,761$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…eef5backed No | 37c | 1,645$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…1a05backed Yes | 65c | 1,535$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d54…923cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,459$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 37c | 1,263$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 63c | 1,247$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 6c | 1,237$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…d3a8backed No | 30c | 1,234$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146b…2e37backed Yes | 65c | 1,202$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 25c | 1,154$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.13 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 32c | 1,144$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 21c | 1,140$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…d845backed Yes | 60c | 1,134$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…1482backed No | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,056$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…e416backed No | 11c | 1,036$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7e…15bfbacked No | 21c | 960.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…266abacked Yes | 65c | 923.03$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f13…ca3dbacked Yes | 66c | 921$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…e0e8backed Yes | 74c | 909.74$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Yes | 78c | 900$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…2433backed Yes | 78c | 900$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +236.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…a2c6backed Yes | 77c | 861.27$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 14c | 826.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8df…be52backed Yes | 73c | 823.46$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2804…6892backed No | 3c | 766.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…1391backed Yes | 78c | 710.99$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc625…66c9backed Yes | 72c | 693.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed Yes | 77c | 651.72$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f27…1c6dbacked Yes | 62c | 641.65$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddff…4236backed Yes | 66c | 632.92$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked Yes | 73c | 631.88$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e29…9cf8backed Yes | 74c | 622$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…307bbacked Yes | 64c | 620.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…c73cbacked Yes | 68c | 620.17$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 20c | 612.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 67c | 597.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…5170backed No | 15c | 579.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…7cf1backed No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…afe0backed Yes | 79c | 543.77$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…2bb8backed No | 35c | 540$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 77c | 518.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…db6abacked No | 18c | 500.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 19c | 465.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…54c2backed No | 41c | 465.58$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…224fbacked Yes | 71c | 454.71$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…56ebbacked Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…9248backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…f7dabacked Yes | 66c | 452.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 74c | 450.69$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…fae8backed Yes | 67c | 446.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 65c | 444.94$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…7616backed Yes | 77c | 419.11$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed No | 12c | 406.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed Yes | 66c | 399.93$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…32d1backed Yes | 64c | 391.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…1d13backed Yes | 69c | 386.67$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d3…6cadbacked Yes | 79c | 382.05$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…c167backed Yes | 66c | 377.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3a…1ab8backed Yes | 75c | 375.22$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…6968backed No | 4c | 370.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…0b70backed No | 38c | 368.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed3…fedbbacked Yes | 64c | 356.25$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…751bbacked Yes | 75c | 339.17$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.