F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8f9da1409ba89bfa4a40dbd3bced4a65dfb3090e3c5c7cf80a56964e5eeb7e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $969,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $814,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $969,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 104,997$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 0c | 99,700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…fa6bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,625$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 47,628$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…aad5backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 31,233$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 0c | 27,700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…8c08backed Yes | 1c | 26,205$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 2c | 15,111$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 1c | 12,448$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 0c | 11,910$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…4a6fbacked Yes | 2c | 10,097$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,961$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 5,928$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…e8bbbacked Yes | 0c | 5,838$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 0c | 5,808$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…c23cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,377$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…5170backed Yes | 0c | 5,232$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 4,205$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,073$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…eef5backed Yes | 7c | 3,704$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 1c | 3,497$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…7b82backed Yes | 1c | 3,184$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b82…0a75backed Yes | 1c | 3,009$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 2,982$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…39b7backed Yes | 2c | 2,708$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe591…da0dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,602$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…1482backed Yes | 15c | 2,570$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,514$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…4649backed Yes | 2c | 2,503$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e4…6db0backed Yes | 4c | 2,139$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…c0f4backed Yes | 0c | 2,136$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…515dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…9a97backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…ee9fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,921$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4b…1304backed Yes | 1c | 1,756$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 1c | 1,752$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 1c | 1,422$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f9bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,318$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…a1aabacked Yes | 1c | 1,194$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf8…6598backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed1…d134backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e9…5fb8backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…77f7backed Yes | 1c | 980.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 2c | 900.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…fc03backed Yes | 4c | 770.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…f701backed Yes | 2c | 687.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 2c | 643.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…c6e3backed Yes | 4c | 614.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2210…8812backed Yes | 4c | 594.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f98…8436backed Yes | 4c | 558.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8690…435ebacked Yes | 3c | 509.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcf…9aeebacked Yes | 3c | 354.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +455.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…112fbacked Yes | 4c | 280.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…e459backed Yes | 9c | 257.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?No won
- Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.