TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc69b…2076backed Under36c6,246$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,999.9469741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under25c4,279$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.221,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over72c4,140$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.446050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under28c3,738$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.2396048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc13…8c5dbacked Over75c3,013$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.744346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1605851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over71c1,400$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.998036.3%29 W · 51 L-13.6wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-37.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb489…4944backed Over75c1,390$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick73cpaid-63.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Under29c1,300$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.3434340.5%139 W · 204 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under29c1,236$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.2122748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Over72c980.64$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.1162451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Under28c975.64$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.4643839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under29c816.33$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.8613030.8%40 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under65c811.15$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.862,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over71c803.82$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.1621751.2%111 W · 106 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over35c787.07$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.7932442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under27c657.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3332555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24515635.9%56 W · 100 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Over71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35521249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over73c500$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9535223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over39c490.75$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2938931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over60c426.65$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7638555.1%212 W · 173 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fc…fec7backed Over65c426.41$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27915253.9%82 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over60c425$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.919835.4%70 W · 128 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Over52c412.85$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8834536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Under29c412$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5290537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over71c400.85$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8246248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under28c382.72$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.3996149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Under39c374.82$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.21,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over74c358.64$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.736142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0f0…ff70backed Under29c357.77$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.964553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under28c357.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1345338%172 W · 281 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Over76c304.42$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0834342%144 W · 199 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bae…ae9fbacked Over71c300.31$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2224563.7%156 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under43c284.67$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2934151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7636…2acbbacked Over74c273.45$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc104…f24fbacked Over62c249.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544040%16 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under40c248.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9663944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under53c226.59$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.52,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0072…88b6backed Over72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a2…8b61backed Over73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507839.7%31 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe381…5edbbacked Over24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Under58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under36c189$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.291,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Under29c181.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7126440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over65c165$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2528643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over36c157.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.631,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.510545.7%48 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fad…1cddbacked Over76c144.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under55c144.19$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8531439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over51c141.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8834742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Under30c138.43$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.912347.2%58 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecf…6476backed Over73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4346…f897backed Over73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008163%51 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe56…093dbacked Over73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf953…3712backed Over71c130.72$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over71c123.76$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.875427.8%15 W · 39 L-11.1wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-41.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over73c123.59$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1566058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1cc…3fa0backed Over65c120.67$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under30c118.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3963742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Under29c107.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.55552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e3…6dbdbacked Over29c104.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302055%11 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over28c103.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1940637.7%153 W · 253 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under29c102.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…f625backed Under30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7038953.2%207 W · 182 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe577…6c42backed Over68c95.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.852070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked Under29c92.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5250550.7%256 W · 249 L+34.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over33c87.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8523136.4%84 W · 147 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under38c85.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.936051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Under32c83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.446450%32 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under29c82.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2237343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb54b…f08bbacked Over75c80.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under57c79.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6197854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under55c77.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9570443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1b…2670backed Under27c74.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.42147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+93.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Over71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Over72c69.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014358.7%84 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under43c64.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.171,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over39c64.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1646452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Under37c63.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.722669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.4wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+63.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under61c59.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4237948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…9917backed Under50c59.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.64753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3900…658abacked Over70c56.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Under41c54.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.444555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under25c53.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4062649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over30c52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5419553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd316…c6bcbacked Over72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under40c40.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.172,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over71c39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6953047.2%250 W · 280 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…1e57backed Under39c38.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8915757.3%90 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9522…11ccbacked Under39c38.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.061861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7041…ca6fbacked Over74c37.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.84353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over69c36.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3561746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under29c35.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9924544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd16b…36c0backed Over73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2547854%258 W · 220 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x562c…8597backed Over60c33.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012048.3%58 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.240641.9%170 W · 236 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…a741backed Over72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.540143.9%176 W · 225 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.