Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x083bfed6221d75412b74e5437192446a20b49c1a7a27a1faf7271c7e0975b46b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 52c | 1,194$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.14 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 46c | 645.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…a663backed Under | 59c | 504.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 51c | 299.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 41c | 277.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Under | 59c | 244.77$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Over | 48c | 209.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 49c | 203.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…62c8backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Under | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 48c | 181.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…9d23backed Under | 67c | 128.15$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 46c | 112.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Over | 49c | 102.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d1…c0dabacked Under | 59c | 84.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…f08bbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 77.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0911…b92dbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Over | 47c | 63.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…8748backed Over | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 53c | 45.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…cae8backed Over | 39c | 43.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 62c | 43.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…56fbbacked Over | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 29.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked Under | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 2?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 3?Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.