MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76ff29c71102b663433e2d32310499fde6a90da16adba0e9dde66c2d489f3724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,598,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,619,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,598,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,189,990$694,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495,941.82 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 42c | 338,987$140,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,765.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 42c | 286,000$119,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,600 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 42c | 221,671$93,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,101.89 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 42c | 58,830$24,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,708.58 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 58c | 55,166$31,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,169.72 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins | 41c | 48,000$19,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,680 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Marlins | 42c | 41,000$17,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,220 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 43c | 40,811$17,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,354.83 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins | 42c | 34,670$14,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,561.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Marlins | 43c | 28,650$12,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,375.2 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 20c | 28,622$5,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,630.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Marlins | 43c | 28,243$12,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,144.49 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Blue Jays | 66c | 25,499$16,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,607.08 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 25c | 24,211$6,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,166.15 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Blue Jays | 58c | 22,179$12,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,315.18 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 41c | 20,319$8,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,316.3 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Marlins | 41c | 19,250$7,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,892.5 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 42c | 11,064$4,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,634.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 58c | 11,026$6,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.58 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Marlins | 41c | 10,915$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.22 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Marlins | 29c | 10,497$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.84 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Marlins | 43c | 9,302$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 41c | 8,600$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 5,073$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.26 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Marlins | 44c | 5,012$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Blue Jays | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Marlins | 43c | 4,872$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Marlins | 42c | 4,580$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.6 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 4,250$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Blue Jays | 56c | 3,921$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Marlins | 42c | 3,703$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.18 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Marlins | 43c | 2,590$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Marlins | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 20c | 2,494$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 2,168$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.6 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Blue Jays | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.11 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Blue Jays | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed Blue Jays | 62c | 1,980$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Blue Jays | 55c | 1,831$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.18 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,826$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.68 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,484$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 42c | 1,231$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.01 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Marlins | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Blue Jays | 67c | 1,163$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.92 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Marlins | 43c | 1,144$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 41c | 1,084$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.56 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Marlins | 48c | 1,013$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.51 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Blue Jays | 50c | 960.06$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.03 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 43c | 899.95$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 870.56$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.51 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 56c | 800$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.52 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Marlins | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…6ed6backed Blue Jays | 59c | 800$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Marlins | 43c | 797.67$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Marlins | 15c | 783.52$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 34c | 782.45$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.75 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 775.68$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.3 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Marlins | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Blue Jays | 42c | 721.43$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.43 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Marlins | 43c | 704.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 44c | 680.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Blue Jays | 59c | 643.07$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 20c | 634.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.67 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Blue Jays | 54c | 609.72$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Marlins | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Marlins | 44c | 597$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 593.71$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.52 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Marlins | 42c | 566.55$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.95 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 42c | 538$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.96 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Marlins | 43c | 509.3$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Blue Jays | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 495$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.25 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 41c | 484.11$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Marlins | 43c | 449.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 27c | 441.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 42c | 439.43$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.57 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Blue Jays | 58c | 379.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Blue Jays | 57c | 360$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.2 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Blue Jays | 57c | 353.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Blue Jays | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Marlins | 8c | 349.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Blue Jays | 60c | 335.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.83 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 30c | 327.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Blue Jays | 59c | 314.29$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 57c | 305.26$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.26 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Blue Jays | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Marlins | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 18c | 290$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 287.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.