MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x701b5d95ff04fe20169e35efed5b86d08881458b7534079520ad82e243187caa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Cubs, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cubs | 58c | 42,993$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 58c | 41,574$24,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,112.92 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 43c | 28,254$12,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,210.97 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 43c | 22,925$9,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,181.02 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 42c | 20,700$8,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,973.79 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 53c | 20,301$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700.24 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants | 42c | 18,948$7,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,989.9 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants | 42c | 9,180$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,363.54 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Giants | 55c | 7,440$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.42 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 43c | 5,373$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Cubs | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Giants | 44c | 5,014$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 42c | 4,668$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.23 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Giants | 43c | 4,262$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.09 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giants | 44c | 4,127$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Cubs | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 54c | 3,626$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Giants | 52c | 3,489$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Cubs | 45c | 2,231$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…4efebacked Cubs | 56c | 2,036$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Giants | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Giants | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93b…a867backed Cubs | 7c | 1,522$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cubs | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b5…e04fbacked Giants | 44c | 1,456$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Giants | 43c | 1,251$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.04 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Cubs | 58c | 1,204$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 65c | 1,115$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.25 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Giants | 44c | 999.96$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cubs | 54c | 977.44$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.82 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 55c | 950.43$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.74 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cubs | 56c | 938.99$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.83 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 43c | 900.14$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.63 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 51c | 889.57$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.26 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Cubs | 58c | 883.5$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.43 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 45c | 877.18$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.45 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…d601backed Giants | 43c | 870$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Cubs | 50c | 841.37$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.19 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Giants | 43c | 796$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.72 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cubs | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 45c | 666$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Cubs | 58c | 603.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Giants | 43c | 550.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.06 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 10c | 550.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cubs | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Cubs | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cubs | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Giants | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Giants | 43c | 499.96$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.48 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Giants | 43c | 483.6$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.65 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cubs | 29c | 481.64$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.31 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Cubs | 13c | 479.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 43c | 427$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.29 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Giants | 70c | 416.26$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Giants | 69c | 401.31$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Giants | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Cubs | 57c | 377.43$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7c26backed Cubs | 56c | 364.77$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Cubs | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cubs | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Giants | 42c | 354$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 44c | 349.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 65c | 324.32$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Cubs | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Giants | 44c | 302.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.27 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Giants | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cubs | 55c | 265.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.18 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Cubs | 38c | 265.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Cubs | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Cubs | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Giants | 61c | 256.58$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Giants | 42c | 250$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Cubs | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Cubs | 57c | 229.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Cubs | 56c | 228.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 56c | 219.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Cubs | 56c | 213.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cubs | 58c | 210$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 57c | 205$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cubs | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Giants | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Giants | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Giants | 44c | 190$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Cubs | 60c | 190$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cubs | 53c | 187.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Cubs | 60c | 184.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 55c | 180.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cubs | 58c | 178.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cubs | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Giants | 43c | 177.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Cubs | 57c | 176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Cubs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Cubs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…4b7ebacked Cubs | 60c | 164.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Giantsthis page
- Spread: Giants (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.