MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6eb8b4e2449f0964a77f8a7c47b5f2f429e124e6e9e5001d0e85dbe616bc956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Astros | 48c | 10,404$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,403.69 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Orioles | 52c | 10,250$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.97 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 52c | 9,107$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.97 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 37c | 9,001$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.5 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Orioles | 30c | 8,008$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.33 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Astros | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.1 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 51c | 5,714$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.28 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Astros | 54c | 5,198$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.04 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Orioles | 52c | 4,880$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.39 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Orioles | 13c | 2,977$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.05 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Orioles | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.28 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 33c | 2,742$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Orioles | 25c | 2,260$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Orioles | 21c | 1,416$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 56c | 1,260$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.2 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Orioles | 55c | 1,091$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.66 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Orioles | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Orioles | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Orioles | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 48c | 999.94$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.97 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Orioles | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Orioles | 10c | 580$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 68c | 565.55$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros | 48c | 538$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 37c | 530$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 48c | 508.81$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.58 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 32c | 483.24$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 47c | 466.35$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.35 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 53c | 431.98$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.95 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 67c | 421$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.93 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 73c | 376.06$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Astros | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 48c | 311.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.23 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Astros | 62c | 308.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 52c | 298.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Astros | 47c | 279.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Orioles | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Astros | 47c | 212.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 54c | 209.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…f551backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9459…e52bbacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…122dbacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…8325backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…0082backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…41babacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…bfe7backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…64e9backed Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…9d81backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a6babacked Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0c…9e00backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…c629backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…e8efbacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…bdbebacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f21…7c7fbacked Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Oriolesthis page
- Astros vs. Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.