MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b4edb797e9ad509260cd2e52b1ffa11a611ebdec8c46d34caa63c2c97cb69ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 55c | 7,061$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.71 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 47c | 6,996$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.27 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Mets | 51c | 4,504$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.43 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 48c | 3,923$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.66 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.34 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 47c | 2,057$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.63 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 48c | 1,800$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 53c | 898.33$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.22 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 33c | 788.3$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 47c | 775$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.25 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mets | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 53c | 566$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 47c | 561.56$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.93 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 39c | 472.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 48c | 400.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 48c | 398.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mets | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mets | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Mets | 53c | 283$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Mets | 53c | 275.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Mets | 53c | 258.12$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Mets | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Mets | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 46c | 225.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Braves | 33c | 213.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Braves | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mets | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 25c | 198.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 47c | 196.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Braves | 48c | 169.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Braves | 47c | 165.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Braves | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Braves | 47c | 136$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 47c | 121.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Mets | 58c | 120.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Mets | 52c | 111$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Braves | 51c | 109$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mets | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Mets | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…56ebbacked Mets | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Mets | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Braves | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Braves | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…96fcbacked Braves | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Braves | 32c | 76.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Braves | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mets | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Mets | 52c | 60.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Mets | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Mets | 53c | 56.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mets | 53c | 50.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Mets | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 53c | 47.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Braves | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Mets | 53c | 36.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Mets | 51c | 34.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Mets | 53c | 32.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Mets | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…08a6backed Braves | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Mets | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mets | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Braves | 47c | 27.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Mets | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…7295backed Mets | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.