NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff704bc5a0a31d7c9ed77aec4eeb533a62691caafd7a7588e7155173c8c9a9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Grizzlies, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 2,160$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.73 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…0fe5backed Grizzlies | 64c | 777.34$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Grizzlies | 67c | 741.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…c51dbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 665.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 585.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Grizzlies | 67c | 446.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 5c | 433$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Grizzlies | 24c | 310.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Grizzlies | 65c | 307.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Grizzlies | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Celtics | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Grizzlies | 59c | 275.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.75 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 271.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Celtics | 38c | 262.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Celtics | 38c | 260$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Celtics | 48c | 242$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 210.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Celtics | 35c | 170.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…4bafbacked Celtics | 76c | 169.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Celtics | 37c | 168.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Celtics | 36c | 156.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…927dbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 153.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…4c9fbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 151.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Celtics | 35c | 148.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Celtics | 41c | 144.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…6040backed Celtics | 39c | 141.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Grizzlies | 61c | 133.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Celtics | 47c | 124.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Celtics | 37c | 122.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Celtics | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Grizzlies | 13c | 108.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bc…11c7backed Celtics | 35c | 107.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…faa7backed Grizzlies | 65c | 104.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…12fabacked Grizzlies | 64c | 102.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Celtics | 38c | 100.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…a38abacked Celtics | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Celtics | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Grizzlies | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…a22abacked Grizzlies | 65c | 97.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…24f0backed Celtics | 41c | 87.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Celtics | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Celtics | 42c | 86.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Celtics | 57c | 82.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Celtics | 34c | 75.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…e3fabacked Celtics | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f94…8867backed Celtics | 65c | 68.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Celtics | 34c | 66.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…2bbdbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 61.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 26c | 60.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Grizzlies | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Celtics | 34c | 59.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Grizzlies | 63c | 56.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Celtics | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Celtics | 46c | 54.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Celtics | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…08bdbacked Celtics | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 56c | 51.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Celtics | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Celtics | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Celtics | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…b1a1backed Celtics | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe6…64bebacked Celtics | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…a253backed Grizzlies | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…877ebacked Grizzlies | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Celtics | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…b218backed Celtics | 38c | 49.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…e63dbacked Celtics | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed56…f524backed Celtics | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1865…8c71backed Celtics | 41c | 46.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…a384backed Grizzlies | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Celtics | 37c | 45.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Celtics | 35c | 40.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Celtics | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Celtics | 35c | 39.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Celtics | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Grizzlies | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…7b2cbacked Celtics | 38c | 30.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Grizzlies | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…344abacked Grizzlies | 66c | 29.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…4e97backed Celtics | 37c | 29.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Grizzlies | 66c | 29.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Grizzlies | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecd…2ca2backed Celtics | 63c | 26.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Grizzlies | 66c | 25.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed Grizzlies | 63c | 19.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Celtics | 66c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a1e3backed Grizzlies | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…ed6fbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 16.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…5aeebacked Grizzlies | 66c | 15.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Grizzlies | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…fa40backed Celtics | 72c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.