MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedd8653ac93c63dc7f0867553a0f92de3b74a212e189e2b0c4673d77c6d3c741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Cardinals | 53c | 44,653$23,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,995.67 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 47c | 43,340$20,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,369.8 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rays | 31c | 25,101$7,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,705.59 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 10c | 14,627$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.14 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 65c | 11,768$7,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Rays | 49c | 10,800$5,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Cardinals | 51c | 10,527$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.23 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Rays | 49c | 6,128$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 51c | 4,331$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 22c | 4,147$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Rays | 49c | 4,084$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 71c | 3,069$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cardinals | 52c | 2,742$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.3 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 51c | 2,301$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…8282backed Rays | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cardinals | 51c | 1,790$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.1 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 49c | 1,786$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.32 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 52c | 1,671$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.74 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 27c | 1,572$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.48 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 1,506$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.91 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 48c | 1,485$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.57 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Cardinals | 52c | 1,356$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.83 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 24c | 1,352$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.47 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…6670backed Rays | 48c | 1,175$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cardinals | 61c | 1,156$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.43 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…b4edbacked Cardinals | 52c | 1,152$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…8b66backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,148$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…ee40backed Rays | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…d685backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Cardinals | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…6133backed Cardinals | 52c | 981$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Rays | 15c | 904.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 47c | 900.4$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.11 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Cardinals | 53c | 866.53$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Rays | 48c | 862.33$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cardinals | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…ac3dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 831$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4356…181dbacked Rays | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…9a99backed Rays | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Rays | 48c | 783$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.84 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1f64backed Cardinals | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…c203backed Cardinals | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…b33bbacked Rays | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…0b91backed Rays | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2ceebacked Cardinals | 52c | 631$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cardinals | 53c | 546.36$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.79 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Cardinals | 60c | 543.83$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.03 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rays | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 49c | 491.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 53c | 450$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.74 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Cardinals | 49c | 410.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.88 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 47c | 400.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…9481backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rays | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 69c | 330.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals | 67c | 281.52$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 51c | 259.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 51c | 234.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 48c | 216.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Cardinals | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 51c | 174$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Rays | 10c | 165$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 53c | 162.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Rays | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Rays | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…3032backed Rays | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Cardinals | 76c | 140$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Cardinals | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cardinals | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Rays | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Rays | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…c16dbacked Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…3b45backed Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…0b0ebacked Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…90fdbacked Cardinals | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…258bbacked Cardinals | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcd…7616backed Cardinals | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d10ebacked Cardinals | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…28bebacked Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc776…c927backed Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe678…7f8fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Cardinals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64bf…c32ebacked Cardinals | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Cardinals | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Cardinals | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rays | 48c | 76.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rays | 49c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rays | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cardinals | 31c | 71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cardinals | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…a24cbacked Rays | 49c | 53.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Raysthis page
- Cardinals vs. Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cardinals (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.