TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc776…c927

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst F1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.26
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.86
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$27.17
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.42
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.46
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.4
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$22.78
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.68
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$19.22
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.22
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.08
Angels vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$16.63
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+87.6%+$23.81
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.19
Athletics vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+100%+$11.6
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.36
Orioles vs. Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$7.79
Blue Jays vs. Reds: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.76
Guardians vs. Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.24
Cardinals vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Braves vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Rays vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$14.02
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.75
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$48.55
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.14
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$12.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UTEP vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.