MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c74e0e8e1cc0867c289f29b0b303540be385a282c80849bf6566bb0904c986b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Rays, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $901,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,003,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $901,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Rays | 51c | 698,617$352,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352,939.68 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 50c | 313,480$156,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,740 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 49c | 207,964$102,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,774.18 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Athletics | 49c | 102,023$49,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,031.59 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 49c | 56,374$27,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,698.92 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rays | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 50c | 15,620$7,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,810.07 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rays | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Rays | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 49c | 7,700$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Rays | 51c | 6,991$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.21 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rays | 51c | 6,986$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.34 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Athletics | 49c | 6,700$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Athletics | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Athletics | 49c | 3,291$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.19 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 10c | 3,015$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics | 49c | 2,992$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.5 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,706$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Athletics | 50c | 2,176$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 48c | 2,124$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.43 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 49c | 1,178$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Rays | 45c | 1,127$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rays | 5c | 1,060$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rays | 49c | 776.7$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.53 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rays | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Athletics | 57c | 725.97$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.28 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rays | 2c | 708.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 5c | 657.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Athletics | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…2400backed Athletics | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 27c | 494.54$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.16 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics | 65c | 419.96$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rays | 27c | 417.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Athletics | 73c | 409$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Athletics | 50c | 402.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 19c | 397.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 32c | 394.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rays | 32c | 364.46$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Athletics | 58c | 338$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Rays | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Athletics | 54c | 258.96$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Rays | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Athletics | 50c | 221.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Rays | 46c | 215.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…088bbacked Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab09…ac0ebacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rays | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Rays | 5c | 198.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rays | 51c | 185.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…8aabbacked Rays | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…f099backed Rays | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b72…b462backed Rays | 51c | 168.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Athletics | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Rays | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…f97ebacked Rays | 51c | 158.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2256backed Athletics | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…dd65backed Rays | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Athletics | 52c | 144.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…4728backed Athletics | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…93fdbacked Rays | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 61c | 140$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…0a2dbacked Athletics | 49c | 136.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ef…69f4backed Athletics | 49c | 132.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 50c | 128.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Rays | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Athletics | 51c | 111$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…bcb3backed Athletics | 49c | 110.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…259bbacked Athletics | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…68f2backed Athletics | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Athletics | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…4a49backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…579dbacked Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…1133backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Athletics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Athletics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…77e1backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f757backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -5.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Athletics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Rays | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…df10backed Rays | 50c | 99.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…3b45backed Athletics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…0b0ebacked Athletics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…769bbacked Athletics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…040fbacked Athletics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.