MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7829bd934ade81941bd51bf03be3a12296270320af44329a618aa32608b4abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Guardians | 60c | 12,902$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Braves | 49c | 8,236$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.41 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 45c | 7,470$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.71 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 41c | 5,426$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Guardians | 54c | 4,723$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Braves | 49c | 4,588$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.67 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 48c | 3,226$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.6 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Guardians | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 52c | 2,916$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.43 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Braves | 50c | 1,932$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.46 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Guardians | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Guardians | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…5efebacked Braves | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Guardians | 51c | 1,729$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.78 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…a6bcbacked Guardians | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…fa8fbacked Guardians | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…5d6bbacked Braves | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Guardians | 51c | 1,453$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.98 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Guardians | 27c | 1,271$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.75 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…7b51backed Braves | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 52c | 1,186$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…689fbacked Braves | 48c | 1,156$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…208ebacked Guardians | 52c | 1,152$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…9076backed Guardians | 52c | 1,148$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…19d9backed Braves | 48c | 1,144$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…ca4cbacked Guardians | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…23bdbacked Braves | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…aadabacked Braves | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…05d5backed Guardians | 53c | 868$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Braves | 43c | 702.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.75 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…b670backed Guardians | 52c | 654$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…05b0backed Guardians | 52c | 596$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Guardians | 52c | 574.79$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 48c | 519.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.38 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 52c | 515$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.8 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 56c | 510$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Guardians | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Braves | 67c | 473.42$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Braves | 46c | 472.16$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Guardians | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Guardians | 27c | 470.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 40c | 446.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 48c | 424.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.86 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Braves | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 29c | 373.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 47c | 349.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 12c | 322.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Braves | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Guardians | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Guardians | 37c | 268.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…bcb7backed Braves | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 56c | 256.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…4dacbacked Guardians | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 51c | 245.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Guardians | 53c | 235$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Braves | 47c | 214$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…f478backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…0170backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…413abacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…670dbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…3aa3backed Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…be8fbacked Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…0838backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…fbbebacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…602bbacked Braves | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.