Movies · resolved market
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d1db07a6664ee09eeabebf78a7a1d90ccfd6e512b9840048d46c5782748950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 19,067$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b136backed Yes | 1c | 7,722$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…cf2fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,174$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 0c | 4,668$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…ade8backed Yes | 0c | 4,400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed Yes | 1c | 4,225$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…6157backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 1c | 3,380$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…b62bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,104$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…ada8backed Yes | 1c | 2,982$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…82e0backed Yes | 1c | 2,552$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…6582backed Yes | 1c | 2,137$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…d1a3backed Yes | 2c | 2,020$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 34c | 1,979$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.11 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,972$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.4 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 8c | 1,569$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,487$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Yes | 1c | 1,353$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,330$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,261$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…e895backed Yes | 1c | 1,118$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfd…5374backed Yes | 2c | 947.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 70c | 792$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…601abacked Yes | 31c | 727$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.81 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 505$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 66c | 444.85$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 63c | 310.81$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2b1fbacked Yes | 31c | 275.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…050ebacked Yes | 36c | 271$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f30…acaebacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 237$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Yes | 39c | 230$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 9c | 227.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e18…84b3backed Yes | 30c | 100.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 91.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…8a6abacked Yes | 34c | 84.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…ef0dbacked Yes | 34c | 83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a8…4902backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 26c | 72.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…8f82backed Yes | 31c | 64.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…5eddbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?this page
- Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?No won
- Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?Yes won
- Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $117m?No won
- Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.