Movies · resolved market
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4032138ecca7c3005e219e466c19e2e739782650419759c2e27cd8c68c5c6d21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 54c | 4,169$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.33 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 55c | 3,532$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.55 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 71c | 3,334$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.86 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 77c | 2,100$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 2,036$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 59c | 2,010$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.74 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 78c | 1,323$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.41 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…b802backed Yes | 17c | 1,092$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.28 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed No | 13c | 766.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes | 18c | 673.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.62 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 45c | 638.35$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.77 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2b1fbacked Yes | 48c | 500.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.41 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…618fbacked No | 3c | 467.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54d…8ac6backed Yes | 27c | 463$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 9c | 410$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…a993backed Yes | 45c | 329.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 11c | 325.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc01c…ed6bbacked No | 4c | 253$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 241.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 58c | 233.15$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd329…7c3dbacked No | 9c | 226.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…b542backed Yes | 34c | 224.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e8bbbacked No | 57c | 192.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…d467backed No | 7c | 183.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed No | 56c | 181$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4b64backed Yes | 46c | 180.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…fdb4backed Yes | 59c | 169.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 20c | 155$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 42c | 149.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 77c | 148.45$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 28c | 135.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 132$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…324dbacked Yes | 24c | 127.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…ccdabacked Yes | 24c | 125.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 57c | 122.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…024fbacked Yes | 18c | 104.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +449.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…6d9ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 20c | 97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…8a6abacked Yes | 40c | 72.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…e10ebacked Yes | 44c | 66.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 22c | 63.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…85f0backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…715fbacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…63a9backed Yes | 52c | 33.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…10b7backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…82e0backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…1b4ebacked Yes | 57c | 19.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Yes | 70c | 18.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?this page
- Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?No won
- Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?No won
- Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $117m?No won
- Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.