Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9366d20e467d5818a8820f0dca486201547e5bb7be777febd6b9c54cc83645e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Yes | 65c | 75,000$48,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,750 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 35c | 69,061$24,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,889.37 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 71c | 10,893$7,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.49 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.15 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 32c | 4,889$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.08 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 46c | 4,775$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.03 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 55c | 4,153$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.49 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 56c | 3,601$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…9398backed Yes | 63c | 1,825$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 19c | 1,664$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.22 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked Yes | 15c | 1,434$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,103$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.54 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 54c | 1,010$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 35c | 999.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 62c | 888.68$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Yes | 62c | 825.29$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.68 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 38c | 744.37$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.92 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 42c | 722.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.83 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 40c | 595$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 38c | 500.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.63 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 64c | 465.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 65c | 464.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d8…1b0ebacked Yes | 47c | 426.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 48c | 367.5$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.39 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 51c | 353.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 349.19$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 62c | 323.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 38c | 303.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…079dbacked Yes | 53c | 238.42$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 38c | 219.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…cd47backed Yes | 64c | 217.34$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 41c | 194.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 36c | 194.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 63c | 158.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 47c | 150.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 34c | 147.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Yes | 65c | 143$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 61c | 130.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 66c | 122.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 63c | 121.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Yes | 62c | 115.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 62c | 114.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…1607backed Yes | 11c | 101.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 65c | 96.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Yes | 63c | 80.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…1e8abacked Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 65c | 61.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 17c | 59.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +105%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 63c | 40.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 65c | 38.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3716…67c8backed Yes | 64c | 34.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…40a2backed Yes | 58c | 34.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 64c | 29.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…51e5backed Yes | 65c | 28.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…b9e5backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0553…058ebacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…ddb0backed Yes | 63c | 21.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…f30abacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…e3b2backed Yes | 63c | 16.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c50…8532backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-19?this page
- Will FK Crvena Zvezda vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Pafos FC win on 2025-08-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.