Champions League · resolved market
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf79e4d7dc9b08948723650fe68e17c1b4e7335e9637822b052a860b351d1abf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 36c | 12,424$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515.14 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 37c | 4,614$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.69 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 51c | 3,066$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.59 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 15c | 2,930$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.62 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 2,658$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.65 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 25c | 2,367$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.25 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 46c | 1,755$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 62c | 1,603$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.17 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 73c | 1,398$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Yes | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed No | 58c | 1,200$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 934.34$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.95 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 14c | 793.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.14 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 69c | 752.52$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Yes | 16c | 744.57$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.57 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 30c | 677.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.52 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 14c | 672.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.1 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 45c | 544.54$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.54 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 15c | 489.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +199.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 54c | 361.66$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…c81dbacked Yes | 47c | 328.42$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 16c | 314.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.02 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 76c | 265.6$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 57c | 262.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…aaaebacked Yes | 29c | 240.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…1208backed Yes | 55c | 222$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 65c | 186.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 15c | 184.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed No | 62c | 130.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Yes | 57c | 128.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 74c | 95.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ecbacked Yes | 58c | 82.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0557…4058backed Yes | 70c | 66.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 43c | 66.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368f…03a8backed Yes | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa688…c7b8backed Yes | 50c | 59.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…6960backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 51c | 39.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…95cbbacked Yes | 34c | 32.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…d29ebacked Yes | 73c | 32.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +286.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 56c | 19.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Yes | 76c | 16.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pafos FC win on 2025-08-19?this page
- Will FK Crvena Zvezda vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.