MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x732f31c1f4b11f68f46bcf79d2d35a8375146a13d7d50025cf2e001796aecea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Reds, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 55c | 67,724$37,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Reds | 53c | 56,580$29,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,987.15 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 48,261$22,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,721.18 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 16,520$7,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,085.82 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 14,259$6,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,557.27 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 10,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,450 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 6,725$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,446.13 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Reds | 53c | 6,032$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.5 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 4,398$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.14 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 4,015$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.95 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,968$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.09 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 3,851$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.74 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…346fbacked Reds | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 44c | 3,562$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,245$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.85 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 54c | 2,601$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.72 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.62 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,206$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.18 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,051$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,042$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.48 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,036$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,985$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.88 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Reds | 17c | 1,475$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,307$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Reds | 3c | 1,250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Reds | 54c | 1,138$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.49 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 2c | 1,111$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Reds | 51c | 934.61$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.65 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 927.84$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.76 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 899.98$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Reds | 4c | 782.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 698.58$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.23 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 643.24$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.78 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 551$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.03 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 53c | 550.15$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 55c | 536.48$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.26 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Reds | 53c | 458.14$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 399.9$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 53c | 397.02$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds | 53c | 333.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 320$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 318$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 316.32$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Reds | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Reds | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 232.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 215.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 214.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 186$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 179$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 173.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 169.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 158.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Diamondbacks | 77c | 125$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…0bb1backed Reds | 54c | 116.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 106.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Reds | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Reds | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5731…28bfbacked Reds | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5468…b680backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 96.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 83.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Reds | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Reds | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…751ebacked Reds | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c2…7bd1backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…8f6bbacked Reds | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 23c | 57.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Reds | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Reds | 53c | 56.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Reds | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…4be7backed Reds | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Reds | 53c | 36.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…b49cbacked Reds | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…08a6backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…7505backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Reds | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Reds | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Reds | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.