MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x215f01e8934ae3ba95b56bb63d9f89f967dabea7854beecd3d5155960dec770d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $838,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $839,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $838,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Astros | 48c | 686,410$329,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357,079.59 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 52c | 540,402$281,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281,008.93 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Orioles | 52c | 67,304$34,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,998.08 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Orioles | 52c | 48,000$24,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,960 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Orioles | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 48c | 24,208$11,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,588.08 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Astros | 69c | 16,208$11,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.41 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Astros | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Astros | 47c | 10,333$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,476.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Orioles | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Orioles | 53c | 8,156$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.72 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Orioles | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Orioles | 52c | 7,608$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.77 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Orioles | 52c | 6,710$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.2 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 53c | 6,167$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.43 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 17c | 5,916$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Orioles | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Astros | 47c | 5,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 52c | 4,595$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.89 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 51c | 4,553$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.81 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Orioles | 57c | 3,598$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.04 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Orioles | 53c | 3,462$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.6 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 21c | 3,138$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Astros | 48c | 2,812$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.41 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Astros | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.37 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 11c | 2,290$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.58 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Orioles | 52c | 2,048$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Orioles | 52c | 2,038$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 46c | 1,678$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.13 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Orioles | 7c | 1,668$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Orioles | 20c | 1,338$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.22 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Astros | 49c | 1,229$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…b41bbacked Astros | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d10…daebbacked Astros | 48c | 1,156$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…23e2backed Orioles | 52c | 1,152$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…5161backed Orioles | 52c | 1,148$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…20e3backed Astros | 48c | 1,144$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 29c | 1,097$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.35 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Orioles | 51c | 1,025$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Astros | 66c | 943$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.25 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 47c | 899.98$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Astros | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…22c9backed Orioles | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…9470backed Orioles | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 48c | 500.06$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.03 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Astros | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Astros | 47c | 492.73$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.15 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 49c | 440.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Orioles | 51c | 414.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Orioles | 33c | 411.12$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 49c | 409.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 48c | 402.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.22 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Astros | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Orioles | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Orioles | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Astros | 66c | 304.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Astros | 48c | 304.17$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.17 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 48c | 302$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Orioles | 50c | 293.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…abf4backed Astros | 65c | 281.54$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Astros | 48c | 270$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Astros | 49c | 214.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 20c | 209.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 48c | 208.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Astros | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…fda7backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…b7ccbacked Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…f551backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Oriolesthis page
- Astros vs. Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.