MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc40bb8f67e6811abe94759d09e45909484b77210d6ea1d019b3d3628989f577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Reds | 35c | 100,000$35,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,850.38 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 31,559$20,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,420.71 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 27,103$17,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,617.03 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 23,556$15,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,222.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.99 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Reds | 46c | 9,166$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.47 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 8,121$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.76 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 6,789$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.01 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 4,724$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.95 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 4,302$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.57 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 46c | 3,560$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.81 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Reds | 36c | 2,137$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.62 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 2,054$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.01 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,886$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Reds | 46c | 1,540$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.13 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Reds | 46c | 1,481$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.52 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…0e51backed Reds | 77c | 1,295$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,266$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.43 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,229$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.8 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Reds | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.95 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Reds | 71c | 957.94$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.53 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Reds | 37c | 815.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.45 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 780.82$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 750.35$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.19 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 702.15$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Reds | 46c | 689.99$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 659.52$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.14 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Reds | 63c | 554.5$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.43 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 46c | 465.83$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.55 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Reds | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Reds | 39c | 437.08$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.62 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Reds | 46c | 382.61$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 45c | 308.76$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Reds | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 34c | 295.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.44 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 264.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Reds | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Reds | 64c | 240$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 235$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 214.55$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Reds | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Reds | 45c | 205.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 46c | 200.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Reds | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 183.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Reds | 56c | 177.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 162.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Reds | 44c | 159.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 158.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 44c | 147.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…7d7cbacked Reds | 45c | 142$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1364…d17fbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 142$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…5dd7backed Reds | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be8…1dd6backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 45c | 132.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Reds | 46c | 128.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 114.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Diamondbacks | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb7…48b2backed Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…791fbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b22…b4efbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd53…e1bcbacked Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…2fb6backed Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…3598backed Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…eebebacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a9…08e4backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef95…9f8bbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…0dd6backed Reds | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…eda2backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fe…b571backed Reds | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Reds | 46c | 99.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Reds | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 90.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 47c | 80.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Reds | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…f9bebacked Diamondbacks | 70c | 73.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Diamondbacks | 22c | 72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…4c42backed Reds | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2456…3f35backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…1a1ebacked Reds | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Diamondbacksthis page
- Reds vs. Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Diamondbacks (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.