MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x706e40510b5bb3f826abd2a324ce2f2a65629283f9aaca562c68fbdf41c3d724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Rangers, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 36c | 9,883$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Royals | 54c | 5,589$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.06 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Royals | 76c | 5,340$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.91 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Royals | 53c | 5,000$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.14 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers | 47c | 3,938$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.97 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 46c | 3,001$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.33 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Royals | 52c | 2,949$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.5 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Royals | 53c | 2,529$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.73 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers | 22c | 2,447$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.33 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rangers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rangers | 38c | 1,838$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.04 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Rangers | 49c | 1,571$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 62c | 1,255$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…516bbacked Rangers | 48c | 1,223$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…ec03backed Royals | 52c | 1,140$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…208ebacked Royals | 52c | 1,110$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Rangers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…0065backed Rangers | 48c | 1,027$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Rangers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rangers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 48c | 913.23$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 47c | 899.95$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Royals | 53c | 859.49$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.96 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rangers | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rangers | 47c | 591$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Royals | 56c | 573.93$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 53c | 566$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Royals | 65c | 557.49$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Rangers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rangers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Royals | 51c | 497.55$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers | 46c | 492.71$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Royals | 53c | 487$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.89 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 56c | 467.14$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 51c | 464.76$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.93 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Rangers | 24c | 423.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Royals | 51c | 415$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rangers | 49c | 408.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Royals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Royals | 52c | 360.82$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rangers | 30c | 347$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Royals | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Royals | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Rangers | 27c | 222.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Rangers | 44c | 208.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Royals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 64c | 184.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…32e7backed Royals | 65c | 170.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rangers | 49c | 152$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Rangers | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Royals | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Royals | 78c | 143$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Rangers | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 74c | 134.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 44c | 131.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Rangers | 42c | 130.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rangers | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rangers | 47c | 119.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Royals | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Rangers | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rangers | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rangers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Rangers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Royals | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Royals | 52c | 98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Royals | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…2e53backed Rangers | 47c | 92.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc859…fbafbacked Royals | 71c | 89.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81eb…f6fdbacked Royals | 53c | 79.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f2…87c3backed Rangers | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rangers | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a2…37c7backed Royals | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 43c | 61.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Rangers | 39c | 58.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Rangers | 35c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 80 | 73.8%59 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Royals | 54c | 50.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Royals | 48c | 49.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Royals | 52c | 45.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Royals | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Royals | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Rangers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Royals | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896b…0a51backed Royals | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Royals | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…8d3cbacked Royals | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Rangers | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf55b…ac0cbacked Royals | 68c | 33.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Royals | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Royalsthis page
- Rangers vs. Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.