MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ae5d614ed1d41fc596861f04fdb792927d8ebe2671106b8f010147126054875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Astros, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $584,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $585,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 56c | 337,811$188,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,555.16 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 45c | 142,316$63,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,639.61 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Astros | 44c | 89,000$39,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,159.97 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Astros | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,749.94 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Astros | 45c | 33,986$15,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,144.83 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 57c | 18,201$10,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,827.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Astros | 33c | 13,253$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,352.44 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 28c | 12,971$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.51 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Orioles | 55c | 11,024$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Orioles | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Astros | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros | 44c | 7,242$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.45 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 44c | 7,200$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 44c | 7,190$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros | 45c | 7,056$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.2 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Astros | 45c | 6,928$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.6 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Orioles | 56c | 6,250$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 51c | 4,812$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 49c | 4,066$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.37 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Astros | 32c | 3,796$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.08 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 54c | 3,363$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.93 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Orioles | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 44c | 2,222$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.68 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Orioles | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…4622backed Orioles | 54c | 1,367$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.81 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 43cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.68 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Astros | 47c | 1,285$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.85 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Astros | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.79 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 58c | 1,031$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.49 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Orioles | 58c | 881.55$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.79 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 26c | 801.86$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.16 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Astros | 43c | 756$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.08 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Orioles | 50c | 547.87$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.54 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Orioles | 56c | 511.14$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.9 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Orioles | 56c | 501$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 55c | 480.22$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.07 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 47c | 460.49$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 61c | 449.75$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 44c | 399.67$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 55c | 358$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Orioles | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Astros | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 43c | 348$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Orioles | 56c | 325$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astros | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 56c | 287.81$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.41 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 48c | 284.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Astros | 47c | 274.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Orioles | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Orioles | 57c | 263.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Orioles | 53c | 245.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Orioles | 74c | 243.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Orioles | 58c | 238$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Orioles | 65c | 222.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 56c | 217.86$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Orioles | 56c | 216$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Orioles | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Astros | 49c | 203.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Astros | 13c | 203.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…f551backed Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Orioles | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.