NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8351bfb84fed610a6f091fc41dc74c3424466ab9e6e3280eb4d524579e36548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramsof Cowboys, Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cowboys | 56c | 27,168$15,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,213.59 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…825ebacked Rams | 47c | 18,714$8,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,903.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rams | 48c | 9,147$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,734.98 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rams | 54c | 2,629$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.35 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rams | 48c | 2,293$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.66 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cowboys | 55c | 2,121$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.4 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cowboys | 1c | 2,007$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cowboys | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Cowboys | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cowboys | 54c | 1,700$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Rams | 48c | 1,343$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.87 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Cowboys | 56c | 1,268$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.09 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Rams | 46c | 1,201$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.29 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Rams | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cowboys | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cowboys | 2c | 625.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rams | 56c | 621.71$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.85 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rams | 68c | 597.21$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rams | 48c | 552.19$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.19 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cowboys | 53c | 495$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rams | 44c | 449.14$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.52 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cowboys | 51c | 429.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Cowboys | 6c | 337.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rams | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cowboys | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cowboys | 54c | 245.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Cowboys | 56c | 230$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Rams | 46c | 228.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +522.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cowboys | 55c | 223$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rams | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Rams | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cowboys | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rams | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cowboys | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Cowboys | 56c | 146.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Cowboys | 28c | 127$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Rams | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Rams | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…9881backed Rams | 48c | 110.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Rams | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Cowboys | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Cowboys | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…c95abacked Cowboys | 56c | 90.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…c641backed Rams | 48c | 73.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…44b0backed Rams | 46c | 72.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a4…45fabacked Cowboys | 56c | 67.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Rams | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 39cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Rams | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…cd4fbacked Cowboys | 55c | 59.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…ef6dbacked Rams | 46c | 58.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…1ecabacked Rams | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rams | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Cowboys | 54c | 38.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Rams | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Rams | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Rams | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Rams | 48c | 24.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…f0b8backed Rams | 47c | 23.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Rams | 47c | 21.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…6ab8backed Cowboys | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked Rams | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.