MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eb1b6c59eaae6e72fe8076a31f314575dd48d8477fe6ff92014fd9b5f8313f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Mets, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $448,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mets | 59c | 202,835$120,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 42c | 106,106$44,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,890.19 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 41c | 53,698$22,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,441.26 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 45c | 44,431$19,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,617.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Braves | 42c | 22,500$9,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,124.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Braves | 44c | 16,279$7,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,116.03 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mets | 75c | 15,925$11,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,965.58 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Braves | 28c | 15,042$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,794.43 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 64c | 14,331$9,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,141.73 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Mets | 44c | 13,273$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,840 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Braves | 45c | 10,171$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.87 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Braves | 44c | 7,796$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.76 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mets | 57c | 5,444$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.43 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Mets | 55c | 5,039$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.83 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.64 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Braves | 50c | 4,353$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.65 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Braves | 29c | 4,310$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 45c | 3,766$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.3 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 26c | 3,143$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Braves | 32c | 3,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Braves | 37c | 2,951$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.69 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Mets | 57c | 2,807$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Braves | 44c | 2,800$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.99 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 43c | 2,479$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 59c | 2,038$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.23 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Mets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Mets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Braves | 45c | 1,803$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.84 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 54c | 1,568$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.51 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Braves | 44c | 1,517$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.32 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 41c | 1,339$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.02 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Mets | 79c | 1,322$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 44c | 1,311$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.86 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 43c | 1,221$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.97 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Braves | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.2 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Braves | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Braves | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Braves | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Braves | 50c | 939.62$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.81 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 44c | 899.96$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Braves | 43c | 756$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.92 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Braves | 49c | 740.48$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.48 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 54c | 725.79$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.93 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mets | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 55c | 662.57$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Braves | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Braves | 44c | 570.8$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.65 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mets | 55c | 541.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 56c | 535$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Braves | 43c | 509$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.13 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Braves | 44c | 469.31$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.81 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 46c | 467.88$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.6 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 44c | 427.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 45c | 400.01$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Braves | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 44c | 399.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 57c | 371.63$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mets | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Mets | 56c | 355.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Braves | 42c | 348.57$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mets | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Braves | 42c | 299$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Braves | 56c | 297.77$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Braves | 22c | 285.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mets | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…c5b5backed Mets | 68c | 264.81$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Mets | 56c | 252.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Braves | 55c | 241.13$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Mets | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Braves | 44c | 231.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 45c | 228$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 25c | 211.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…31d4backed Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…f551backed Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Braves | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Bravesthis page
- Mets vs. Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.